calidoug wrote:The GFS called the Frances Bahamas stall 3-4 days out.
So does this mean that you think GFS is especially likely to be correct in its 3-day-out-track for Ivan? I didn't think so.
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bwstg wrote:Fodie77 wrote:Brent wrote:melhow wrote:...after plowing Cuba as a 5, according to local Tampa channel 8 11p forecast...
That is incorrect. The Monday Evening position is NW of Key West as a Cat 3 and then the Tuesday Evening position is just inland between St. Marks and Cedar Key as a Cat 3. No Cat 4 indicated.
Maybe that's just the local mets. forecast. It's not like their forecast has to be identical to that of the NHC.
But its a forecast nevertheless. They are meterologists too. I don't see any pro met icons on anyone's name.
Frederic1979 wrote:As I recall, I posted a message to the affect, that Ivan would go to the south of Jamaica, of course I got bashed for it. Either way its bad news for Jamaica, hope they come out as safe as possible.
dennis1x1 wrote:nope....no way the shear is hitting now.....and not for another couple of days.....according to the nhc anyway...
passing on official forecasts about as far from -removed- as it gets.....
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