Three peat

bwstg · #1 Postby **bwstg** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:36 am

The early show spoke with a meteorologist who just said that the water ahead of IVAN are warmer and more conducive for massive bombing. The only way IVAN can miss part if not all of florida is if it slows down and cools off, which part is happening the other not. It is slowing down, but it ain't cooling off. Does anyone agree or disagree the next track won't shift to the east??

Anonymous · #2 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:45 am

teh track isn't going to shift east. It will shift slightly west, but not much.

It is looking like the part of Florida that was ravaged by Charley, will be spared the worse of Ivan. They will still get a part of the east side, but not nearly what they were staring at earlier in the forecast path. I still expect the west coast to get very stiff tropical force winds though, which is still a problem for an area that is going through a cleanup.

Hurricnae Ivan has about a 60 mile radius of the most intense winds. I don't see Ivan tracking that close to the west coast of Florida.

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:49 am

I think the possibility for an eastward shift is there.. It could happen... The storm is still several days away and the track will be jumping all over the place

huricanwatcher · #4 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:49 am

later this afternoon should prove very interesting..

Ixolib · #5 Postby **Ixolib** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:53 am

Josephine96 wrote:I think the possibility for an eastward shift is there.. It could happen... The storm is still several days away and the track will be jumping all over the place

As we all know, ANYTHING is possible. So.... if you're anywhere with this cone, or subsequent cones, you're still under the possible tracks.

Anonymous · #6 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:54 am

As you know, forecast tracks outside of 72hrs., are bogus. Keep an eye on the projected path within the 72 hr. period. Those are the people that need to be focused on a track. The rest of us can sit back and relax for another 48 hrs.

Guest · #7 Postby **Guest** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 8:56 am

It will be a while for this storm to go north. It is moving at a snails pace.

Josephine96 · #8 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 9:05 am

It would have to accelerate a little.. As we play the waiting game..

rlar798 · #9 Postby **rlar798** » Sat Sep 11, 2004 9:11 am

Steve Lyons on the weather channel just said that this storm is trying to follow Charley. Said the forcasted track is still the panhandle of Florida and was talking about the impact differences between the Tampa area and the panhandle. He also said all should monitor this storm. Oh as a side note Cantori is in Punta Gorda!

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