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Stormsfury
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#4441 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:45 pm

3:30 pm Update ...

Code: Select all

WTNT61 KNHC 111931
TCUAT
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
330 PM EDT SAT SEP 11 2004

DATA JUST RECEIVED FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE
THAT IVAN HAS REGAINED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO
AN EXTRAPOLATED PRESSURE OF 914 MB AND THE ESTIMATED SURFACE WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO 165 MPH...270 KM/HR.  THESE NEW VALUES OR FURTHER
UPDATES WILL BE INCORPORATED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$
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Taffy
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#4442 Postby Taffy » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:45 pm

It looks like an embryo... neat
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#4443 Postby latemodel25 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:46 pm

can anyone provide me with the link to the nogaps models on ivan? Thanks in advance.
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Hyperstorm
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#4444 Postby Hyperstorm » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:47 pm

Impressive, but not only that...the hurricane does NOT have PERFECT outflow! The NW side of the storm is somewhat squashed. Just imagine a perfect circular outflow around the storm, and it would have easily rivaled the <900mb party.....
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:48 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#4445 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:47 pm

Becka wrote:I wonder what Fidel is smoking now!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1


It sure ain't a cigarette ...
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cycloneye
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#4446 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:48 pm

Agree.
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#4447 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:49 pm

165?! I wonder if it'll get any stronger
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#4448 Postby yoda » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:49 pm

Totally agree Hyperstorm... :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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1948z Vortex 918 mb 161 kt

#4449 Postby Jetman » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:50 pm

000
URNT12 KNHC 111917
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/1917Z
B. 18 DEG 06 MIN N
79 DEG 11 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2354 M
D. 95 KT
E. 049 DEG 29 NM
F. 127 DEG 161 KT
G. 058 DEG 012 NM
H. 918 MB
I. 9 C/ 3101 M
J. 22 C/ 3085 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. CO17-20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF966 2009A IVAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 161 KT NE QUAD 1909Z.

;

this is initial, the extrapolated is ok, not mentioned here, so, they did measured it after that.
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cycloneye
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New Vortex=918 mbs ,161kt winds NE QUAD

#4450 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:50 pm

Code: Select all

URNT12 KNHC 111917
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/1917Z
B. 18 DEG 06 MIN N
   79 DEG 11 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2354 M
D. 95 KT
E. 049 DEG 29 NM
F. 127 DEG 161 KT
G. 058 DEG 012 NM
H. 918 MB
I. 9 C/ 3101 M
J. 22 C/ 3085 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. CO17-20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF966 2009A IVAN OB 11
   MAX FL WIND 161 KT NE QUAD 1909Z
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Recon 'o Rama - Latest Vortex Message...161knot Flt Winds

#4451 Postby MWatkins » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:51 pm

Wow. Dave? Ready for your closeup?

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/URNT12.0409111948

MW
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new Vortex message

#4452 Postby eye of the storm » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:51 pm

238
URNT12 KNHC 111917
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/1917Z
B. 18 DEG 06 MIN N
79 DEG 11 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2354 M
D. 95 KT
E. 049 DEG 29 NM
F. 127 DEG 161 KT
G. 058 DEG 012 NM
H. 918 MB
I. 9 C/ 3101 M
J. 22 C/ 3085 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. CO17-20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 2 NM
P. AF966 2009A IVAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 161 KT NE QUAD 1909Z.

;
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#4453 Postby Jetman » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:51 pm

161 kt flight winds would support 170 mph surface winds
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#4454 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:52 pm

So surface winds are up to 170?
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#4455 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:52 pm

It is now tied for the SIXTH Most Intense Atlantic Hurricane ever recorded.

:eek:
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TampaFl
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#4456 Postby TampaFl » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:53 pm

:eek: :eek:
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#4457 Postby Matthew5 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:53 pm

The Pressure is up a little 4 millibars?
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#4458 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:53 pm

This thing may still get stronger too I'm sure.. I hope it doesn't get too much bigger though
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anjou
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#4459 Postby anjou » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:53 pm

<moved to different thread>
Last edited by anjou on Sat Sep 11, 2004 3:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#4460 Postby yoda » Sat Sep 11, 2004 2:54 pm

161 kts times 1.15 to mph = 185.15 mph

I think its 90% of that? Correct me if I'm wrong here...

166.635 MPH according to my calcs.... :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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