Ivan Advisories

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#4801 Postby Guest » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:00 pm

Thanks cycloneye. Lets get some order to make this site even better, and also save space!
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PurdueWx80
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#4802 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:01 pm

:) That's ok, I double checked to make sure I was looking at the correct maps too. No harm done, my friend.
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LowMug

#4803 Postby LowMug » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:02 pm

No kidding...no harm done...

Keep trying to give us every tid bit you can find...if some of us on here find it is "old" or whatever we will let you know ... hopefully in a friendly manner
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air360
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Cayman radio hilarious

#4804 Postby air360 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:02 pm

MAN THIS RADIO IS HILARIOUS...this have this huge melody going from "I believe i can fly"..to "you got it bad"....this is great...its all island style too ..haha
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Fodie77
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#4805 Postby Fodie77 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:02 pm

I am leaving for a while now, I would appreciate it if all of the current users in the forum will carry this thread. I can obviously see that the idea is having trouble catching on, but I do think it would do the board a lot of good. Thanks.
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Sean in New Orleans
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#4806 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:02 pm

cycloneye wrote:Post about tracks in Fodies thread to then not have many threads about the same theme.

Feel free to move mine about Cuba over there....
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Lindaloo
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#4807 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:03 pm

Fodie77 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Post about tracks in Fodies thread to then not have many threads about the same theme.

God bless you!! Its nice to have a mod on board!! :D



Hi brettfodie! :D
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rockyman
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#4808 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:03 pm

no problem at all! the 18z run from yesterday WAS way over near the Keys and SE Fla
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Guest

#4809 Postby Guest » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:03 pm

Maybe this should have been posted on one of the other 10 cayman radio threads?
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lowcountry-buckeye
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#4810 Postby lowcountry-buckeye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:04 pm

Lockhart wrote:Intensification of storms is an easy result of Global Climate Change. It's what is expected. I suppose we have been in an upswing in the last 20 years without GCC (who knows?), but it's clearly much worse than it would have been. :-(


Is that to say there were fewer Cat. 4 & 5 storms prior to the last 100 years though? What were the trends in the 1800's, 1700's, 1600's etc... I'm guessing there are no records, but I don't know.
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Sean in New Orleans
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#4811 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:04 pm

Foladar wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:
Foladar wrote:It's just a wobble.

I seriously doubt it---you won't see me start a thread like this unless I see, at least, 3 frames of consistent motion--I know better than that!! 8-)

Keep doubting then, let me guess..you think it's going to New Orleans? It's been wobbling west, then wobbling north.

No--I think Mobile to Destin..why on earth would I want something like this on my beloved hometown?? That would be insane. I'm watching, and giving my opinion on what I perceive to be the truth.
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rockyman
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#4812 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:04 pm

thru 84 hours...still aiming toward central panhandle
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Guest

#4813 Postby Guest » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:04 pm

It will never work sadly until the mods start locking repeat threads.
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Rainband

Re: Cayman radio hilarious

#4814 Postby Rainband » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:04 pm

air360 wrote:MAN THIS RADIO IS HILARIOUS...this have this huge melody going from "I believe i can fly"..to "you got it bad"....this is great...its all island style too ..haha
nothing is funny about what those people are going through :grr:
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Anonymous

#4815 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:05 pm

When was and what was forecast?

Sorry, but the original thinking had nothing at all to do with the trough coming down now, through the midwest. IT ALL HAD TO DO WITH THE WEAKNESS THAT WAS HANGIN OVER THE GOM AND ACROSS FLORIDA.

The trough coming now, may enhance the ridging to the north of Ivan, and then causing Ivan to move North later in the forecast period. Thus all the shifts west, in the models.
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corpusbreeze
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#4816 Postby corpusbreeze » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:05 pm

chris_fit wrote:The trough is in the midwest.
Yes it is but seems to be leveling off, in other words it wont dip into the gulf.
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mobilebay
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#4817 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:06 pm

rockyman wrote:no problem at all! the 18z run from yesterday WAS way over near the Keys and SE Fla

Yes. I just needed to press refresh. However, I've never had to do that before. :roll:
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MBryant
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#4818 Postby MBryant » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:06 pm

One more question.

Is th ULL anywhere near the altitude of the venting level necessary to get the "engine" running? Would this be a reason that most ULLs do NOT form into tropical systems?

edit - With venting an anticyclonic motion.
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CalmBeforeStorm
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Picture of a Nearly Perfect Hurricane

#4819 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:07 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... RGB/20.jpg

As for the notion it will reach Gilberts pressures I say no way as Gilbert was a much larger storm size wise.
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Sean in New Orleans
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#4820 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Sep 11, 2004 5:08 pm

Very nice photo..thanks.
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