Worried Now
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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chrisnnavarre
- Category 1

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Worried Now
I'm in Navarre, Florida..and I've been a good member of this board. But,,,
right now I'm getting very nervous concening this storm. I think we're going to lose everything we're ever worked for along this Panhandle region of Florida.
I love my community, home and family but if this storm clips the western side of Cuba everything we know here will be gone by Thursday.
If your looking for predictions, I think that by Monday night we'll be running for our lives anywhere from Mobile to Destin. I hope I'm wrong but I'm really stressing right now.
right now I'm getting very nervous concening this storm. I think we're going to lose everything we're ever worked for along this Panhandle region of Florida.
I love my community, home and family but if this storm clips the western side of Cuba everything we know here will be gone by Thursday.
If your looking for predictions, I think that by Monday night we'll be running for our lives anywhere from Mobile to Destin. I hope I'm wrong but I'm really stressing right now.
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Hey Chris I'm very close to you in the Garcon Point region.
Fortunately Ivan will probably weaken to a CAT3. Opal was bad but if it comes in this area we'll just have to ride it out as we've done so before. Since 1995 our area has been pretty lucky. The worst we got it since then was Earl and Georges.
We'll make it through!
Stay in touch, Chris!
Fortunately Ivan will probably weaken to a CAT3. Opal was bad but if it comes in this area we'll just have to ride it out as we've done so before. Since 1995 our area has been pretty lucky. The worst we got it since then was Earl and Georges.
We'll make it through!
Stay in touch, Chris!
Last edited by ~SirCane on Sat Sep 11, 2004 10:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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I hate to see anyone get too worked up and stressed out about it right now while there is SO much uncertainty in the forecast track. Also, there is a teeny bit of good news as the NHC and ships models predict some pretty significant weakening from its current strength (Min. Cat 3 perhaps) due to shear in the GOM...so hopefully you won't be looking at a Cat 5. Cat 3 is certainly no picnic and VERY dangerous...but not as bad as it could be. Just prepare & plan intentionally, stay watchful and then calmly implement your plans if necessary...and pray, look what that did for Jamaica 
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SunnyThoughts
- Category 5

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- Sean in New Orleans
- Category 5

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- Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
- Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
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Just buckle down like anyone would and you'll do fine....Most likely if it hits there, it will be weaker than it is now (keep that in mind). You'll likely have to clean limbs up and possibly replace a few tiles on your roof. You'll ride this one out fine---it will most likely be a cat. 3 when it hits the northern gulf...take it easy...
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chrisnnavarre
- Category 1

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~SirCane wrote:Hey Chris I'm very close to you in the Garcon Point region.
Fortunately Ivan will probably weaken to a CAT3. Opal was bad but if it comes in this area we'll just have to ride it out as we've done so before.
Stay in touch, Chris!
If this thing doesn't weaken over the Gulf I'm not sure we'll be safe up in Selma, Al at my Dad's house. Dude, me and some of my friends here are really stressing on this one. I'm retired Navy and 914MB coming thru the pass down near Cuba has me sweating bullets.
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First of all , if Ivan does show up here in the western panhandle just be prepared. We can hope he will be weak. I for one , will be ready and plan to stay in the area. I have a new home built this year. The home is to stand up to 145mph wind. I live about 15 miles from the Gulf and about 5 miles from the bay.
dw
dw
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- charleston_hugo_veteran
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1590
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:47 pm
- Location: Charleston, S.C.
Sean in New Orleans wrote:Just buckle down like anyone would and you'll do fine....Most likely if it hits there, it will be weaker than it is now (keep that in mind). You'll likely have to clean limbs up and possibly replace a few tiles on your roof. You'll ride this one out fine---it will most likely be a cat. 3 when it hits the northern gulf...take it easy...
IF....
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- LAwxrgal
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1763
- Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
- Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)
Yes, if...
The landfall cone is still VERY uncertain at this point. As we've seen Ivan basically does what he wants. So we have to just wait, see....
...and be prepared.
And you'll be fine.
The landfall cone is still VERY uncertain at this point. As we've seen Ivan basically does what he wants. So we have to just wait, see....
...and be prepared.
And you'll be fine.
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
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chrisnnavarre
- Category 1

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- Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2003 5:52 pm
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wabbitoid
- Tropical Depression

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- Location: Saint Paul, Minnesota
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Hey, Chris, I feel for you. My parents went through Andrew, and I helped clean up.
Just remember we all, I mean ALL, care about you. And no matter how bad it gets just take care of yourself. Get through this and remember that other people have, too.
Watching paradise get ripped up is really hard on the soul, but be strong. If you have to, fake it and borrow strength from the rest of us. We're here when you need us, honest.
Just remember we all, I mean ALL, care about you. And no matter how bad it gets just take care of yourself. Get through this and remember that other people have, too.
Watching paradise get ripped up is really hard on the soul, but be strong. If you have to, fake it and borrow strength from the rest of us. We're here when you need us, honest.
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Re: Worried Now
chrisnnavarre wrote:I'm in Navarre, Florida..and I've been a good member of this board. But,,,
right now I'm getting very nervous concening this storm. I think we're going to lose everything we're ever worked for along this Panhandle region of Florida.
I love my community, home and family but if this storm clips the western side of Cuba everything we know here will be gone by Thursday.
If your looking for predictions, I think that by Monday night we'll be running for our lives anywhere from Mobile to Destin. I hope I'm wrong but I'm really stressing right now.
I know how you feel chris I was just looking at the latest GFS and still in near Appalachicola. This is the eastern outlier. scary.
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- stormchazer
- Category 5

- Posts: 2462
- Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
- Location: Lakeland, Florida
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I feel for you man....but I am breathing easier in Polk County.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
If you get hit, and if you lose power for a while (as we did twice with Charley and Frances), just get online as fast as you can and let us know what you need. The help those of us got from people in other parts of Florida and the U.S. will not be forgotten!
Remember that whatever gets 'broken' can all be fixed. Biloxi got smashed by Camille and yet bounced back. South Miami got hit hard by Andrew and rebuilt. It can ALL be rebuilt. Just remember that you aren't in it alone.
Remember that whatever gets 'broken' can all be fixed. Biloxi got smashed by Camille and yet bounced back. South Miami got hit hard by Andrew and rebuilt. It can ALL be rebuilt. Just remember that you aren't in it alone.
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NFLnut wrote: Remember that whatever gets 'broken' can all be fixed. Biloxi got smashed by Camille and yet bounced back. South Miami got hit hard by Andrew and rebuilt. It can ALL be rebuilt. Just remember that you aren't in it alone.
Actually, Biloxi didn't bounce back. It wasn't until the advent of dockside gaming in 1993-95 that the place ever recovered from that devil-spawned, god-awful storm.
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dwinpcola wrote:First of all , if Ivan does show up here in the western panhandle just be prepared. We can hope he will be weak. I for one , will be ready and plan to stay in the area. I have a new home built this year. The home is to stand up to 145mph wind. I live about 15 miles from the Gulf and about 5 miles from the bay.
dw
Will it withstand storm surge?
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