Bad Vibes...

[TheShrimper]

As unpredictable as Ivan has been so far in regards to motion, something tells me he still has one up his sleave path-wise. I know I am just probably paranoid, but this has been a season of storm reacting differently than they were supposed to, not that any can be percisely forcasted. Remember also, storms of this magnitude are a rare event and while weaker entities have had ample time to be focused on and researched dynamically, the same cannot be said for the monsters. Just a thought. My shutters are out, but not up yet. Hopefully he will behave the next 36 hours and I will be able to make a decision...but I doubt it. Waiting here on Pine Island...TheShrimper.

[Aquawind]

Hey it's cool..Try to enjoy your Sunday..Ivan is not going anywhere to fast..You know the drill...move on untill watches are issued..

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Hey it's cool..Try to enjoy your Sunday..Ivan is not going anywhere to fast..You know the drill...move on untill watches are issued..

my thoughts exactly!!

[Agua]

Hey it's cool..Try to enjoy your Sunday..Ivan is not going anywhere to fast..You know the drill...move on untill watches are issued..

Great advice. The damned thing is DEFINITELY not going anywhere real quickly.

[Sanibel]

That would take quite a turn at this point. I would share your concern if it wasn't for the fact that Ivan appears to have sped up a little. The only chance we would have of being hit by such a turn would be if he remained very slow and turned slowly in front of the trough.

After seeing Ivan's low-track many days ago I speculated that he could be a Yucatan Channel runner. Looks like he might do that! From there it is probably into the Gulf and north. The circulation clouds overhead here aren't diving south, but are instead heading more west and into the Gulf. A sign of west movement of the storm...

[x-y-no]

Yeah ... at this point I'm beginning to wonder if Missisippi and Louisiana won't be back in play soon ...

[Ivanova]

How about the oil drilling facilities in the Gulf... aren't most of them
off the shores of east Texas and Louisiana ??

[LAwxrgal]

^ they already are, to an extent. Sigh.

[cloud_galaxy]

That would take quite a turn at this point. I would share your concern if it wasn't for the fact that Ivan appears to have sped up a little. The only chance we would have of being hit by such a turn would be if he remained very slow and turned slowly in front of the trough.

After seeing Ivan's low-track many days ago I speculated that he could be a Yucatan Channel runner. Looks like he might do that! From there it is probably into the Gulf and north. The circulation clouds overhead here aren't diving south, but are instead heading more west and into the Gulf. A sign of west movement of the storm...

I agree, my gut feeling says "New Orleans".

Luckily, I am not to be taken seriously as I am quite new to this

[Stephanie]

These are anxious times for everyone along the Gulf. I can't imagine what the people in Florida are feeling right now. I saw on TWC a report where a doctor said he spoke with another doctor and mentioned how he's written more prescriptions for anti-anxiety medication during this past month than he can ever remember.

I guess just be on your guard, have a few beers, watch the beginning of the NFL season and try and relax today!

[Ivanova]

I agree, my gut feeling says "New Orleans".

Luckily, I am not to be taken seriously as I am quite new to this

"Out of the mouth of babes..."

[Ixolib]

Yeah ... at this point I'm beginning to wonder if Missisippi and Louisiana won't be back in play soon ...

Back? I kinda been seeing us in play already - regardless of shifts E/W.

[x-y-no]

Yeah ... at this point I'm beginning to wonder if Missisippi and Louisiana won't be back in play soon ...

Back? I kinda been seeing us in play already - regardless of shifts E/W.

I meant "in play" as in "in the forecast cone."

My original guesscast four or five days ago was Louisiana, and I shifted to the FL panhandle. For a while (due to the GFS yet again failing on seeing the strength of a ridge) it even looked to me like South Florida was a fair probability. Now it's starting to look to me like I should have held fast to my original call.

[Ixolib]

10-4 X-Y-No...

...and I just read in another thread where someone was saying they might shift their thinking much further west - said he had thoughts of this perhaps being another Gilbert.

[SwampDawg]

I'll have some official info on the evacuation of Oil Rigs in the Gulf of Mexico tomorrow for anyone interested.

http://www.kmrc1430.com

[Anonymous]

Shell has been evacuating their workers for the past couple of days, from the deepwater areas.

[wabbitoid]

Lousiana is a big problem, since something like 10% or our oil is imported through there, and 20% of our refining capability is centered there. The area is criss-crossed with old pipelines that a tidal surge would rip up, causing a mess.

Lili almost became the legendary monster that took all this out, and I'm worried about Ivan. The potential for long-term damage is pretty high even if New Orleans itself is spared again.