Definition of a Catastrophic Hurricane in New Orleans

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Mattie
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Definition of a Catastrophic Hurricane in New Orleans

#1 Postby Mattie » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:24 pm

http://www.kenner.la.us/hurricane_jpep.html (A great link to hurricane preparedness steps for everyone also. Just cruise through the site)


Hurricane protection levees have been built to protect life and property from storm surge. These levees do a very good job protecting communities during minimal hurricanes. However, sophisticated computer modeling of storm surge effects indicates most levees in Southeast Louisiana would be overtopped from the storm surge generated by a direct strike of a major hurricane, resulting in widespread flooding.

A catastrophic hurricane for Southeast LA is defined as a Category 3-Slow (average 5mph forward speed) and all Category 4 or 5 hurricanes. Hurricanes in Categories 1, 2 and fast-moving 3 (average 15mph forward speed), are considered less destructive and dealt with through the use of normal emergency preparedness procedures.
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#2 Postby WeatherNLU » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:34 pm

Walter Maestri was on the news not more than two weeks saying that they have have looked at this very hard and now believe that all CAT 3 and even now slow moving CAT 2's would cause terrible destruction.
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#3 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:35 pm

IVAN... :eek:
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#4 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:36 pm

Wow, NO needs to watch out!
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#5 Postby wabbitoid » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:37 pm

Hurricane force winds extend out 90 miles, so if a Cat2 is a disasterous that means a strike between Lafayette and not quite as far as Mobile could be a problem.
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#6 Postby WeatherNLU » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:42 pm

wabbitoid wrote:Hurricane force winds extend out 90 miles, so if a Cat2 is a disasterous that means a strike between Lafayette and not quite as far as Mobile could be a problem.


Well, not exactly. The biggest problem here is the water. If a cane hits that far away the surge will be much less here. Rainfall would be a huge problem, but without the surge, the catastrophic flooding that is possible would probably not come into play.

I am going to look for a link to Maestri (Jefferson Parish Emgy. Ops. Director) comments.
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#7 Postby wabbitoid » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:47 pm

The biggest problem here is the water. If a cane hits that far away the surge will be much less here. Rainfall would be a huge problem, but without the surge, the catastrophic flooding that is possible would probably not come into play.


I see, so is it surge through Ponchtrain that is the problem, meaning landfall around Biloxi, or is it coming the other way also an issue, across the Bayous?
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#8 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 12, 2004 4:53 pm

THe big concern is that the storm will push water through the Rigolets into Lake Pontchartrain, doubling it in volume. Then, the trailing wind on the west side of the eye (north) would push all of that water over the levees and into the city.

Having crossed that levee many times, it isn't a far-fetched scenario. Georges Had water up over the railroad levee. Last year Isidore had the water up to 10 feet.
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