Ivan Advisories
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Just found a detailed link about contraflow and New Orleans:
http://www.rsip.lsu.edu/anb10-3/Resourc ... raflow.pdf
I'm not sure when that particular info was released or how current it is.
More contraflow in Louisiana
http://www.rsip.lsu.edu/anb10-3/Resourc ... olshon.pdf
http://www.rsip.lsu.edu/anb10-3/Resourc ... raflow.pdf
I'm not sure when that particular info was released or how current it is.
More contraflow in Louisiana
http://www.rsip.lsu.edu/anb10-3/Resourc ... olshon.pdf
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- wxwatcher2
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TS Zack wrote:John Gumm just said the FSU S.E. has shifted to Biloxi. He says he thinks the track should be shifted further West of the models. He is a bit nervous.
We are all below sea level but Levee's protect us from Flood Waters. Outside the flood protection levee's all it takes is 1-2 foot above normal tides to flood that area.
TS Zach, was Gumm's comment about the FSU on air or in print, and if in print do you have a link to it???
thanks
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Just got off of the phone with a source that is very close to the President of Plaquemines Parish in SE Louisiana. NO EVACUATIONS (BE IT MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY) ARE SET AT THIS TIME. There is going to be a meeting at 11:00am Monday morning. Nothing will be done until Ivan enters the GOM. Thanks, just wanted to pass that on.
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- wxman57
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tdess02 wrote:Where are you getting thes reports? Ivan is not even made it to the Gulf yet. I agree that the N.O. area needs as much time as possible to evacuate, but this may be jumping the gun a bit.
Let's say that Ivan's NW turn doesn't happen tonight and landfall shifts to New Orleans. It would hit Wednesday afternoon. That means evacuations would have to be COMPLETE by Tuesday, which means getting out as early as tomorrow morning. Wait until 24hrs before landfall (Tuesday) and you'll be in a perpetual parking lot, just waiting to be swept out to sea. No, it's not too early to consider possibly evacuating there. If Ivan's course hasn't changed by morning (and it may be changing now), then Louisiana may be in trouble quite soon.
Last edited by wxman57 on Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- wxman57
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Frank P wrote:TS Zack wrote:John Gumm just said the FSU S.E. has shifted to Biloxi. He says he thinks the track should be shifted further West of the models. He is a bit nervous.
We are all below sea level but Levee's protect us from Flood Waters. Outside the flood protection levee's all it takes is 1-2 foot above normal tides to flood that area.
TS Zach, was Gumm's comment about the FSU on air or in print, and if in print do you have a link to it???
thanks
I believe that the quote about the FSU SE was made a few days ago, not today. Far as I know, only the folks at FSU and the NHC have access to that model.
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SwampDawg wrote:Just got off of the phone with a source that is very close to the President of Plaquemines Parish in SE Louisiana. NO EVACUATIONS (BE IT MANDATORY OR VOLUNTARY) ARE SET AT THIS TIME. There is going to be a meeting at 11:00am Monday morning. Nothing will be done until Ivan enters the GOM. Thanks, just wanted to pass that on.
Just wanted to say that again, because a lot of people were posting at the time that i did it.
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- PTrackerLA
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John Gumm claims to have a contact who has access to that model. I trust him.
But to clarify what I said earlier about lower Plaquemines Parish. The person I taked to didn't say that a decision has been made. Yes, they are meeting tomorrow. But he was of the opinion that volountary evacuation probably would be reccomended. It was just his opinion. Sorry if I wasn't clear before.
But to clarify what I said earlier about lower Plaquemines Parish. The person I taked to didn't say that a decision has been made. Yes, they are meeting tomorrow. But he was of the opinion that volountary evacuation probably would be reccomended. It was just his opinion. Sorry if I wasn't clear before.
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TSmith274 wrote:John Gumm claims to have a contact who has access to that model. I trust him.
But to clarify what I said earlier about lower Plaquemines Parish. The person I taked to didn't say that a decision has been made. Yes, they are meeting tomorrow. But he was of the opinion that volountary evacuation probably would be reccomended. It was just his opinion. Sorry if I wasn't clear before.
That's cool. Please don't take my post as an attack on you, i would never do that. I just wanted to make sure for myself. We have a radio tower down that way that I would have to get to if an evacuation happens.

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wxman57 wrote:Frank P wrote:TS Zack wrote:John Gumm just said the FSU S.E. has shifted to Biloxi. He says he thinks the track should be shifted further West of the models. He is a bit nervous.
We are all below sea level but Levee's protect us from Flood Waters. Outside the flood protection levee's all it takes is 1-2 foot above normal tides to flood that area.
TS Zach, was Gumm's comment about the FSU on air or in print, and if in print do you have a link to it???
thanks
I believe that the quote about the FSU SE was made a few days ago, not today. Far as I know, only the folks at FSU and the NHC have access to that model.
Here's the thread with the Biloxi reference made by Mr Gumm:
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=44355
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