Ivan Advisories

[HurryKane]

Youch. That Ivan, he needs to go on Atkins or something.

South Beach kinda worked for Frances.

[skysummit]

He said in between Boothville, La. and Pensacola, Fl.

[dennis1x1]

official advisory kept at 155mph surface (released after 155kt observed).....

really surprised to see only up 1mb....sat representation definitely doesnt match that low of pressure.....this storm is an interesting study......i would be surprised if pressures dont rise in the next couple of recons.

[dhweather]

Carrie is giving the exact forecast that the NWS has for the coast.

The Slidell NWS will be taking Ivan into consideration once the northward trend is made.
Right now, they don't, and that's the forecast without it.

As she gets a little more experience, she'll note things like "but Ivan many change that"

[Guest]

Wait, it weakened. Wasnt it 916 MB before?

not necessarily, missions are flown in diff. quad. 11pm update will tell

[hial2]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Look at the front @ Lake Okeechobee,and look at the vapor loop..Ivan's outflow is already being influenced by the SW to NE winds in the Gulf...
I know that it goes against every model, but I really cant see this storm reaching shore north of Tampa..

[cajungal]

Just watched Channel 8 news New Orleans. They are getting more and more concerned. Evacuations may start as early as tomorrow. Because it takes 72 hours to get everyone out.

[Scorpion]

But when it gets that new eye, BAM there goes the pressure down the drain.

[canegrl04]

He also said Ivan could make landfall with sustained winds anywhere from 125mph-150

[brudeb]

lmao hurry

[dennis1x1]

no...min central pressure is min central pressure...not in different quadrants.....all taken in the center.

[FritzPaul]

TS winds already 200mi. From 8EDT Adv:

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

[adelphi_sky]

What's the population of Biloxi? And I'm sure since the hurricane force winds now extend 90 miles from the center, New orleans will be affected too.

[skysummit]

Hail flying at 160 mph??? Holy cr@p!

[HurryKane]

*wets pants*

Oh, oh my. Another sleepless night. Thanks for the info.

[canegrl04]

I just love how JB makes bold predictions

[lilbump3000]

They said if the track shifts further to the west a voluntery evacuation will be order for tomorrow.

[Scorpion]

THAT would hurt lol.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Yeah--they may need to start by getting the people outside of the levee system out of there first....

[dennis1x1]

yes...if the forecast shifts 200 miles to the west im sure evacuations would begin tomorrow..