Mystery Forecaster Was Awesomely Accurate

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Ivanova

Mystery Forecaster Was Awesomely Accurate

#1 Postby Ivanova » Sun Sep 12, 2004 10:59 pm

:eek:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=42779



The topic was locked... was the person banned ??


He only posted this one post... pity


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Ivanova

#2 Postby Ivanova » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:05 pm

Mystery forecaster's entry for today [Sunday]:

"6AM SUN - 19.7N; 83.9W -- 155 KTS -- SW OF W CUBA, APPROACH YUC CHANNEL" :eek:



Mystery forecasters last entry [for Wednesday]:

" 6AM WED - 28.1N; 89.7W - 170 KTS - APPROACHING SE LOUISIANA "


Time will tell how accurate :eek:


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Ivanova

#3 Postby Ivanova » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:09 pm

How many MPH is 170 KTS ?!

:?:
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#4 Postby cape_escape » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:11 pm

Kind of Ironic...huh?
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Yikes

#5 Postby WeatherNole » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:11 pm

Ivanova wrote:How many MPH is 170 KTS ?!

:?:


170 kts = 195 mph
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Pasco
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#6 Postby Pasco » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:11 pm

170 knots = 196 mph :eek:
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#7 Postby JoanFlorida » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:18 pm

Read the thread...That forecast is rather amazing... sheesh...the guy made a mistake and didn't disclaim, or do they really think he was trying to pull a fast and fraudulent one? So accurate it's eerie...If it lands in Louisiana as he predicted, I hope the forum admin. at least acknowledges his accuracy? In fact, I just might IM him and find out what he thinks!
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#8 Postby Ixolib » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:33 pm

JoanFlorida wrote:Read the thread...That forecast is rather amazing... sheesh...the guy made a mistake and didn't disclaim, or do they really think he was trying to pull a fast and fraudulent one? So accurate it's eerie...If it lands in Louisiana as he predicted, I hope the forum admin. at least acknowledges his accuracy? In fact, I just might IM him and find out what he thinks!


...and don't forget to ask for Wednesday's Lottery numbers!!
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Ivanova

#9 Postby Ivanova » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:39 pm

I PMed the Mystery Forecaster too...
I bet he is lurking out there somewhere
beyond the bandwidth... but will he
make himself known ?? ... or has he
given up casting his pearls :(


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#10 Postby cctx » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:39 pm

Seems we finally found the guy with the crystal ball !
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Ivanova

#11 Postby Ivanova » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:46 pm

cctx wrote:
Seems we finally found the guy with the crystal ball !



Too bad he was unwelcomed :(
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#12 Postby CAL » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:53 pm

Interesting, that Gomez fellow. I really wish someone knew who he is.
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#13 Postby addictedfisher18 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 11:57 pm

hey guys if it was to hit 28.1N; 89.7W would we get any wind here in mobile or not?
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#14 Postby FritzPaul » Mon Sep 13, 2004 12:08 am

For one thing that coordinate is still in the GOM, but that would put you on the "bad side". It would depend on the direction Ivan was heading when it passed that point as to how bad it would be.

That point is about 50 or so miles S of SW Pass of the MS river.
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#15 Postby Lockhart » Mon Sep 13, 2004 12:13 am

Everyone think this is eerily accurate, but didn't *everything* predict Ivan going into the GOM and then up back then? It's just that this guy hasn't posted since, so he hasn't had an opportunity to shift East and then back West.
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#16 Postby PurdueWx80 » Mon Sep 13, 2004 12:15 am

No actually, most model guidance early on had Ivan going north of or through Hispaniola and into eastern FL. The GEM is the only model that has been in the Gulf for the last week. Now everything has shifted west and they continue to do so. From a week ago, that is probably the best forecast we've seen.
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Ivanova

#17 Postby Ivanova » Mon Sep 13, 2004 12:23 am

Ivanova wrote:

Mystery forecasters last entry [for Wednesday]:

" 6AM WED - 28.1N; 89.7W - 170 KTS - APPROACHING SE LOUISIANA "





Hummm... 28.1N 89.7W .... exact location as this 1901 hurricane

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at190104.asp

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#18 Postby Possum Trot » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:43 am

Lockhart wrote:Everyone think this is eerily accurate, but didn't *everything* predict Ivan going into the GOM and then up back then? It's just that this guy hasn't posted since, so he hasn't had an opportunity to shift East and then back West.


Well, yeah, but not *everything* predicted south of Jamaica and through the Yucatan Channel with CAT 5 winds.

Where'd the original go?
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Ivanova

#19 Postby Ivanova » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:55 am

Possum Trot wrote:

Where'd the original go?





Hummm... seems someone has seen fit to delete the original topic :(

But, this same info has also been posted on a Russian forum :cool:


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