Latest GFDL scary for New Orleans

WeatherNLU · #21 Postby **WeatherNLU** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:40 am

FritzPaul wrote:Castle manor in NOE.

Ok, cool. I am down 510, actually a Chalmation. Since no one would know where the hell that is, I just use New Orleans. I mean it basically is anyway!

southerngale · #22 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:41 am

Jeb, that's waaaaaaaay left of everyone else and happens to be where I live. Why are you saying this or is it JUST a bad feeling? Bad feeling is ok. Some kind of logical reasoing...no. lol

Website · #23 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:41 am

Da parish will be a bad place to be if Ivan comes here.

opera ghost · #24 Postby **opera ghost** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:41 am

Jeb Jeb Jeb... don't talk that way... you'll give my normally staid and reserved husband a heart attack.

He's informed me that if, at any time, we wind up even on the outer fringe of the cone- we're taking the cat and heading northwest. Oy.

I keep trying to reassure him we'll be fine *Laughs*

southerngale · #25 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:42 am

I agree Dennis.
PT.....yep!

SwampDawg · #26 Postby **SwampDawg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:46 am

southerngale wrote:They've been very conservative with their west shifts so I doubt it will shift much. They take baby steps. lol
It's kinda hard to believe that just a few days ago the projected path pointed toward the Miami area and even stretched to the other side of Florida and now look at it.....and the models!

They had better not be too conservative. New Orleans needs alot of time to evacuate.

WeatherNLU · #27 Postby **WeatherNLU** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:46 am

FritzPaul wrote:Da parish will be a bad place to be if Ivan comes here.

Indeed it will. Luckily I am in the heart of Chalmette so I am in the levee protection area. However, with this bad boy, I don't think that 8 foot levee is going to give us much protection. What are you planning to do. I am thinking about boarding up the house tomorrow evening around 6PM if this trend holds. What about you?

WeatherNLU · #28 Postby **WeatherNLU** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:47 am

SwampDawg wrote:
southerngale wrote:They've been very conservative with their west shifts so I doubt it will shift much. They take baby steps. lol
It's kinda hard to believe that just a few days ago the projected path pointed toward the Miami area and even stretched to the other side of Florida and now look at it.....and the models!

They had better not be too conservative. New Orleans needs alot of time to evacuate.

Exactly, we need to start tomorrow morning with the low-lying areas if it were a Thursday morning landfall.

southerngale · #29 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:52 am

I wasn't saying they should shift it just a little. I'm just going by what they've done in the past.

Website · #30 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:56 am

WeatherNLU wrote:
FritzPaul wrote:Da parish will be a bad place to be if Ivan comes here.

Indeed it will. Luckily I am in the heart of Chalmette so I am in the levee protection area. However, with this bad boy, I don't think that 8 foot levee is going to give us much protection. What are you planning to do. I am thinking about boarding up the house tomorrow evening around 6PM if this trend holds. What about you?

I live right by Chef Hwy which is a natural ridge (Some of the highest ground in the city), so I'm relatively safe from flooding (Long as the levy isn't toped: Betsy barely covered the carpet).Don't know of further plans.... tomorrow is going to be a very important day.

SwampDawg · #31 Postby **SwampDawg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:58 am

southerngale wrote:I wasn't saying they should shift it just a little. I'm just going by what they've done in the past.

I know...I was just saying that they shouldn't be too conservative..I know what you meant. 8-)

#32 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:58 am

All of these models are creeping closer to me. :eek:

Not good news.

SwampDawg · #33 Postby **SwampDawg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:00 am

LAwxrgal...if they keep shifting, it will be more like this for all of us. :eek:

QueenBee · #34 Postby **QueenBee** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 3:11 am

The new Cone on the Weather Channel has kicked New Orleans out. We were no longer in the cone for the 4:00 a.m advisory,

HurryKane · #35 Postby **HurryKane** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:57 am

QueenBee wrote:The new Cone on the Weather Channel has kicked New Orleans out. We were no longer in the cone for the 4:00 a.m advisory,

But NOLA is *well* within the NHC cone at 5 am. And the 5 am advisory said they'd have put it further left if they 'could.'

Janie34 · #36 Postby **Janie34** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:10 am

I don't know what TWC's problem is, but they have not updated the "cone." New Orleans is now well within the cone, with a predicted landfall currently at the AL/FL border.

HurryKane · #37 Postby **HurryKane** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:12 am

The cone they just showed (15 or so after 5 am Central) did have NOLA in it but just barely.

Innotech · #38 Postby **Innotech** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:19 am

Ther track is looking increasingly like Camille's, intensity and all.

hla97 · #39 Postby **hla97** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:15 am

I am down in Plaquemines Parish. They are supossed to call a mandatory Evacuation either tonight or early in the morning. I am about 1/2 block from the river on one side and about 2 blocks from the gulf on the other!

goodlife · #40 Postby **goodlife** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:22 am

WWL TV in New Orleans will start hourly live updates at 10:00 am..
Thank Goodness...cause the Weather Channel is about useless...

Latest GFDL scary for New Orleans

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