Ivan Advisories

Possum Trot · #6981 Postby **Possum Trot** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:30 am

Where do you get these before they are posted on the NHC site?

ColdFront77 · #6982 Postby **ColdFront77** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:40 am

Yesterday, the activity in the Gulf of Mexico has been moving southwest to northeast and west to east.

southtexasgal · #6983 Postby **southtexasgal** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:40 am

thanks southerngale...everyone keeps talkin about
Mexico and galveston but nobody seems to mention us in the middle

southerngale · #6984 Postby **southerngale** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:43 am

Right now, it's looking like Louisiana is the most likely landfall spot IMO. Of course I'm definitely not an expert. :wink:

#6985 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:53 am

Today's Discussion
POSTED: September 13, 2004 5:35 a.m.

As of 5 AM EDT, Hurricane Ivan was located near 20.2 north and 83.9 west or about 120 miles south-southeast of the western tip of Cuba. Ivan is an extremely dangerous Cat 5 hurricane with sustained winds near 160 mph and it is moving to the west-northwest at 9 mph. Minimum central pressure is 920 millibars or 27.17 inches. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge to the Dry Tortugas. Ivan will move through the Yucatan Channel Monday and its projected path by accuweather.com takes a major hurricane perhaps as strong as cat 4 and in a worst case, cat 5, into the northern gulf coast later Wednesday night. The large area of disturbed weather east of the windward islands will develop slowly on its way northwest the next couple of days, and may be a post Ivan threat in 7-10 days for the eastern sea-board

caneman · #6986 Postby **caneman** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 4:54 am

http://stpetersburgtimes.com/2004/09/13 ... _a_f.shtml

ColinD · #6987 Postby **ColinD** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:23 am

Excellent, a must read article.

#6988 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:26 am

http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/model?MODEL=ukmet&TIME=2004091300&REGION=USLCC&FCST=all&LEVEL=500&F1=none&F2=none&C1=hght&C2=tmpc&VEC=none

#6989 Postby **HollynLA** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:32 am

I have to admit, I'm getting extremely nervous. I'm home alone with my two kids, husband is working in Texas so I'm scared of having to evacuate on my own. I will definitely start preps today. This surely won't be my first time but it has been a while since we had a hit. I'm hoping this thing turns away. Man oh man, what to do...........

#6990 Postby **Dave C** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:32 am

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html
click on Cancoun for radar pic.

#6991 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:35 am

Holly:
I feel for you! You can do it.......hang in there and stay safe! :wink:

Remember it's not over, till it's over, it could go somewhere else!

#6992 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:36 am

Dave C wrote:http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html
click on Cancoun for radar pic.

yea i noticed it was still smiling too... :eek:

Nimbus · #6993 Postby **Nimbus** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:36 am

Tough to land a helicopter in even 30 MPH cross winds so they have to be conservative about evacuations. Obviously Ivan is going to miss this current short wave so by Tuesday even the rigs off Texas will not be guaranteed safety.

Aquawind · #6994 Postby **Aquawind** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:39 am

Good Reading Alrighty..

#6995 Postby **KBBOCA** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:40 am

Oh my... reading the latest reports from Cozumel & Cancun is terrifying in that it looks like most folks are TOTALLY unprepared for Ivan.

http://stormcarib.com/reports/2004/mexico.shtml

much prayer needed. If you know anyone there call them and tell them to take action NOW!

#6996 Postby **HollynLA** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:43 am

Sorry to the folks in MX, but I'm hoping this storm pulls a Gilbert and keeps going towards them. It's possible so it's something to hope for.

LadyStorm · #6997 Postby **LadyStorm** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:51 am

I know how you feel, been through it. It is forcasted to weaken prior to landfall. Make sure you are stocked up. Fill your car up with gas, I can't stress that enough, gas goes into short supply after a hurricane. Evacuate if instructed to do so.

MaryAnn

HollynLA wrote:Sorry to the folks in MX, but I'm hoping this storm pulls a Gilbert and keeps going towards them. It's possible so it's something to hope for.

daisy25 · #6998 Postby **daisy25** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:53 am

That is a really great artical. Daisy

#6999 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 5:54 am

Yes I think gas and bread is the hardest thing to find after a hurricane, my husband and I had to drive 35 miles to find a loaf of bread after Hugo... :eek:

#7000 Postby **gatorbabe79** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 6:09 am

Does it look like its slowing down to anyone else?

Ivan Advisories

Accuweather 5 AM Discussion

Neat article about Avila and Ivan

UKMET further west??

see the big eye

Re: see the big eye

Cozumel & Cancun ... Apathy scary

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