New Orleans chances lessening?

#1 Postby **TSmith274** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:38 pm

I can't help but be encouraged by the latest satellite loop. It looks to me that it is almost headed NNW at this point. I beginning to become more confident that this storm will go east of New Orleans. Is anyone else noticing the same thing? It has all the earmarks of a turn ... slowing speed, and an apparent jog to the NNW. What do yall think?

#2 Postby **crazycajuncane** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:42 pm

Only Ivan really knows what is going on!

LaBreeze · #3 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:43 pm

I'm with you on this one TSmith274.

#4 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:43 pm

TSmith274 wrote:I can't help but be encouraged by the latest satellite loop. It looks to me that it is almost headed NNW at this point. I beginning to become more confident that this storm will go east of New Orleans. Is anyone else noticing the same thing? It has all the earmarks of a turn ... slowing speed, and an apparent jog to the NNW. What do yall think?

Please keep your eyes on it... :wink:

It's a weird one!

AL Chili Pepper · #5 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:46 pm

Got my ruler out and laid it on the screen. Looks like Lafayette....but it's still bound to curve more.

#6 Postby **Stormcenter** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:47 pm

TSmith274 wrote:I can't help but be encouraged by the latest satellite loop. It looks to me that it is almost headed NNW at this point. I beginning to become more confident that this storm will go east of New Orleans. Is anyone else noticing the same thing? It has all the earmarks of a turn ... slowing speed, and an apparent jog to the NNW. What do yall think?

Unless the high builds and forces Ivan back NW
track once it enters the GOM. Things will get
very interesting once Ivan enters the GOM tonight.
Though any movement more northward is good for
New Orleans, MS, AL and not good for the FL panhandle.

#7 Postby **Stormcenter** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:47 pm

TSmith274 wrote:I can't help but be encouraged by the latest satellite loop. It looks to me that it is almost headed NNW at this point. I beginning to become more confident that this storm will go east of New Orleans. Is anyone else noticing the same thing? It has all the earmarks of a turn ... slowing speed, and an apparent jog to the NNW. What do yall think?

Unless the high builds and forces Ivan back NW
track once it enters the GOM. Things will get
very interesting once Ivan enters the GOM tonight.
Though any movement more northward is good for
New Orleans, MS, AL and not good for the FL panhandle.

LaBreeze · #8 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:49 pm

Is the high expected to build back in? :?:

#9 Postby **Steve** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:52 pm

Anything could happen. But it's looking more and more that New Orleans will see maybe fringe effects (tropical storm gusts, some rainbands) while the MS/AL/WFL Coasts will bear the brunt of Ivan. I was probably too far east on my original call of Jackson Co - Bay Co from mid-last week as the real threat is between Orange Beach and Bay St. Louis.

Steve

LaBreeze · #10 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:54 pm

I'm with you on this one Steve. Looks like LA may be spared.

#11 Postby **patsmsg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 2:55 pm

While it would be nice...the latest satellite loop is not yet reason for encouragement...yet. It will take a continued trend toward the N to get N.O. out of the woods. That has not happened yet, so stay alert.

New Orleans chances lessening?

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