morning ivan forecast.. little track change

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Derek Ortt

morning ivan forecast.. little track change

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:08 am

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl092004forecast.html

graphic should be up within the hour
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HollynLA
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#2 Postby HollynLA » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:09 am

Derrek
So you don't think it will make that NNE motion till after landfall. This could spell disaster for N.O. I'm really nervous here and everything is so questionable.
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#3 Postby Mattie » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:14 am

Derek - that link is dated 9/13
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#4 Postby Dave C » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:21 am

Derek, do you see the shear holding all the way to the coast or will it let up some between now and landfall before increasing once again as earlier TPC discussions indicated?
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Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:21 am

its the correct forecast, just the wrong date

this is well west of new orleans, the track graphic is out of date
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rainstorm

#6 Postby rainstorm » Tue Sep 14, 2004 11:54 am

great forecast
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VERMONTsnow
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#7 Postby VERMONTsnow » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:00 pm

disagree with intensity: Ivan is gaining significant strength
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Derek Ortt

#8 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:44 pm

recon still shows little change... still 120-125
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#9 Postby JMGNole » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:58 pm

I'm still getting the #25 graphic. What's up?
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#10 Postby QueenBee » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:15 pm

Derek I still think the storm will track near New Orleans. It is now 23.7 N and 86.5 West. Ivan is doing his own thing.
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#11 Postby Innotech » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:18 pm

Your forecast is makin me nervous.
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NorthGaWeather

#12 Postby NorthGaWeather » Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:18 pm

Going a little conservative on strength in the 12-36 hr time period but we'll see.
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