Joe Bastardi On Jeanne

[canegrl04]

He was just on Fox news and said Jeanne could be headed into the GOM

[jlauderdal]

He was just on Fox news and said Jeanne could be headed into the GOM

Interesting..he says west and most others say NW-N never getting into the gulf. time will tell

[Portastorm]

Both he and DT believe the ridge over the eastern U.S. and western Atlantic will strengthen and build significantly in the wake of Ivan and an approaching trough in the western U.S.

Just what we all need, another storm threatening a U.S. landfall!

[canegrl04]

This could be a record year for US landfalls.The only named storms to not make it have been Danielle and Earl

[Josephine96]

Been quite a year for US landfalls

Alex, Bonnie, Charley. Frances, Gaston, Hermine, Ivan? Jeanne..?

That's 8 US landfalls..

[blizzard20]

Ivan will make some weakness for the Jeanne to move Northwestward up the east coast . I think Karla will be a hurricane and threat to the east coast. I think jb is wrong with it going into the gulf .

[Guest]

If you go to accuweather site their projected path of jeann shows it going into the GOM, I don't wish it on anyone but sure glad she may not come to NC

[Skywatch_NC]

Ivan will make some weakness for the Jeanne to move Northwestward up the east coast . I think Karla will be a hurricane and threat to the east coast. I think jb is wrong with it going into the gulf .

I think you mean Karl

Eric

[jlauderdal]

Both he and DT believe the ridge over the eastern U.S. and western Atlantic will strengthen and build significantly in the wake of Ivan and an approaching trough in the western U.S.

Just what we all need, another storm threatening a U.S. landfall!

when did dt say it would be a gulf storm?

[gkrangers]

Both he and DT believe the ridge over the eastern U.S. and western Atlantic will strengthen and build significantly in the wake of Ivan and an approaching trough in the western U.S.

Just what we all need, another storm threatening a U.S. landfall!

when did dt say it would be a gulf storm?

Maybe after hitting the east coast of Florida, but his current thoughts are follow Frances to Florida.

[Skywatch_NC]

If you go to accuweather site their projected path of jeann shows it going into the GOM, I don't wish it on anyone but sure glad she may not come to NC

I would go along w/ the NHC more so.

Eric

[Weatherboy1]

It's too early to say for sure what Jeanne will do, of course. A lot depends on where Ivan ends up after landfall. But from what I can see, almost every model (except the ECMWF) forecasts some kind of NW and N turn east of FL by a couple hundred miles at least. This includes the GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET, GFDL and the tropcials. That's a powerful argument that we'll dodge this one ... hopefully. Also, the environment doesn't seem to be as favorable, with some shear forecast at various points in the next 120 hours. And last but not least, Jeanne is going to pass through some of the same waters as Frances. So I doubt there's as much fuel for a seriously strong storm.

That said, it's still early. Give it another 2 days and we'll have a better idea if Jeanne is going to impact Fl, a spot further up the coast, or turn out to sea.

[Guest]

It's too early to say for sure what Jeanne will do, of course. A lot depends on where Ivan ends up after landfall. But from what I can see, almost every model (except the ECMWF) forecasts some kind of NW and N turn east of FL by a couple hundred miles at least. This includes the GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET, GFDL and the tropcials. That's a powerful argument that we'll dodge this one ... hopefully. Also, the environment doesn't seem to be as favorable, with some shear forecast at various points in the next 120 hours. And last but not least, Jeanne is going to pass through some of the same waters as Frances. So I doubt there's as much fuel for a seriously strong storm.

That said, it's still early. Give it another 2 days and we'll have a better idea if Jeanne is going to impact Fl, a spot further up the coast, or turn out to sea.

correct on the first part. But, the gulf stream is ripe. frances has nothing to do with jeanne.

[jpigott]

one thing that concerns me (and DT mentions this) is that with seemingly every storm we've had this year the models want to prematurely turn these storms poleward/N. But you are right, we need to give this a couple of days before we get a better hold of what Jeane is going to do

[PurdueWx80]

Ivan will make some weakness for the Jeanne to move Northwestward up the east coast.

That's what people said about Frances on Ivan, too. Look where he is now!

[jlauderdal]

Ivan will make some weakness for the Jeanne to move Northwestward up the east coast.

That's what people said about Frances on Ivan, too. Look where he is now!

i beleive charley was suposed to head out to sea also

[Doc Seminole]

Seems to me that JoeB says EVERYTHING is in or going to the Gulf.

[Canelaw99]

But he was right about Ivan if I recall....I think someone posted a few days ago that JoeB said Ivan could go untouched into the GOM - it did.....