8 PM JEANNE
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- yoda
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8 PM JEANNE
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gatorbabe79
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- Ground_Zero_92
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gatorbabe79 wrote:FNMOC WW3 shows Jeanne's track following the gulf stream off the Carolinas and a pretty impressive wave off Africa for Sept 20.
From the 5 pm Jeanne discussion:
the GFS and GFDL models weaken the ridge enough
to allow Jeanne to move almost due north after 72 hours along 70w
longitude. Given the GFS recent poor history of forecasting too
weak of a ridge over the western Atlantic...the official forecast
track leans more toward the UKMET and NOGAPS models. It should be
pointed out that the Canadian and ECMWF models keep a strong ridge
between Jeanne and Ivan through 120 hours...and take the cyclone
westward toward the Bahamas and the Florida Peninsula.
Full text:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200411.disc.html
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