Ivan has really picked up speed

[caneman]

and it looks like landfall could come in 30 hours. It'slready at the plots that NHC had for 12 hours from the 5:00 Advisory. IT may just continue NNW and the turn won't come til lafter landfall unless it slows down some.

[Mello1]

and it looks like landfall could come in 30 hours. It'slready at the plots that NHC had for 12 hours from the 5:00 Advisory. IT may just continue NNW and the turn won't come til lafter landfall unless it slows down some.

We will know for sure at the next advisory. Hmmm.... I would think this would not be a good thing because of the ridge situation? No time to turn? That's the extent of weather understanding, if that's even right....

[FritzPaul]

I noticed that too. I was hoping I was seeing
things from lack of sleep. If this is true, it's
going to be hard for him to curve.

[Brent]

I noticed that earlier. Might make for an earlier landfall too.

[Stormcenter]

and it looks like landfall could come in 30 hours. It'slready at the plots that NHC had for 12 hours from the 5:00 Advisory. IT may just continue NNW and the turn won't come til lafter landfall unless it slows down some.

The 11pm advisory confirms the quicker speed. The track and thinking has not changed MS/AL border. I'm not a fan of the models but I think they got this track locked in. There are not many times the models agree like this. I feel better for N.O. and worse for MS/AL. tonight.

[Sanibel]

If it is picking up speed something is grabbing it. It can't be a west-sending ridge because that would slow it down. Has to be the recurve starting...

[sea oat]

opal picked up speed before she hit. she wasn't even supposed to come here. ppl went to bed and woke up to a cat 4 screaming their way. luckily she downgraded to a cat 3 before she came ashore.

so time frame now that we are look at if it continues with this speed and when is it supposed to go over "the warm eddy" i keep hearing everone talk about?

[PurdueWx80]

If it is picking up speed something is grabbing it. It can't be a west-sending ridge because that would slow it down. Has to be the recurve starting...

We can't forget that strong ridges also accelerate tropical systems...do we remember how quickly Ivan moved through the Lesser Antilles because of that ridge to the north? The ridge to Ivan's east (over FL) is pretty damn strong. The ridge over far western LA and over TX is still quite strong as well...there is no way the trough in the Rockies has begun affecting Ivan yet. That's plain as day from a wv loop.

[sea oat]

sorry my fingers are slower than my brain. what time frame are we looking at for landfall now?