1:00 Advisory Just Read..

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Sean in New Orleans
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1:00 Advisory Just Read..

#1 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:42 am

...on Ivan...everything is the same (as far as winds and pressure)...N/NW at 12 mph....
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Stormcenter
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Re: 1:00 Advisory Just Read..

#2 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:46 am

Sean in New Orleans wrote:...on Ivan...everything is the same (as far as winds and pressure)...N/NW at 12 mph....


Sean do you feel better now? I wouldn't until he's way inland.

Hey did you catch the part about a gradual turn to the north is expect today?
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#3 Postby WeatherNLU » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:48 am

Well looking at sat pics I was worried of a little more west movement than last advisory, but it's exactly the same, .5/.2.
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Re: 1:00 Advisory Just Read..

#4 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:49 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:...on Ivan...everything is the same (as far as winds and pressure)...N/NW at 12 mph....


Sean do you feel better now? I wouldn't until he's way inland.

Hey did you catch the part about a gradual turn to the north is expect today?

I'm not saying the turn North won't happen. I see nothing to make me believe this storm will stop moving a straight line unless it slows down and the SW flow from Texas catches it---I would love to be wrong. This system has defied everything and everyone since its inception---constantly moving on straight paths. I see know reason why this wouldn't be any different. It's fooled everyone along the way---including me.
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#5 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:53 am

This position is in line with all the model guidense I've seen. Of the 00Z runs that I've seen The GFS, NOGAPS, GFDL,Canadian all take it to about 88.2 west then due north. All directly over MObile. With consensus like that I doubt they will make any chages at 4 Am, or until they see it going by 88.5 west. IMO
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