First Tampa, then Miami...and now New Orleans

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Tri-State_1925
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First Tampa, then Miami...and now New Orleans

#1 Postby Tri-State_1925 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:47 am

Who would have ever thought that in one hurricane season all three of the "Big Three" cities would have been in the pathway of 3 different category 4 storms?

But now the moment people have anticipated for years and years could be upon us once again -- the destruction of New Orleans. The coup de grace of hurricane landfalls. You know the story -- water gets in, but it doesn't get out. And that's all she wrote for New Orleans -- a modern day catastrophe, one that would stand alongside the events of September 11th.

And don't think that Ivan is finished just yet. The GOM always holds a few surprises up its sleeve.
Last edited by Tri-State_1925 on Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby TSmith274 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:49 am

Well, supposedly this west to east flow along the TX/LA coastline might save us from that. But this thing needs to turn right now.
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#3 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:53 am

TSmith274 wrote:Well, supposedly this west to east flow along the TX/LA coastline might save us from that. But this thing needs to turn right now.

All 00z models(that I've seen) turn it due north between 88.0W, and 88.5W. I'm not saying that's going to happen, I'm just saying that is unbelievable agreement.
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Foladar

#4 Postby Foladar » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:37 am

Miami didn't receive a hurricane yet this season..
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#5 Postby LadyStorm » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:47 am

Be grateful. There is always Jeanne.


Foladar wrote:Miami didn't receive a hurricane yet this season..
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#6 Postby Ixolib » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:52 am

mobilebay wrote:
TSmith274 wrote:Well, supposedly this west to east flow along the TX/LA coastline might save us from that. But this thing needs to turn right now.

All 00z models(that I've seen) turn it due north between 88.0W, and 88.5W. I'm not saying that's going to happen, I'm just saying that is unbelievable agreement.


At what latitude is that supposed to happen?
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Foladar

#7 Postby Foladar » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:34 am

LadyStorm wrote:Be grateful. There is always Jeanne.


Foladar wrote:Miami didn't receive a hurricane yet this season..


Oh, I am..just saying, the original poster said Miami, NO, and Tampa was hit by hurricanes this season, but we've gotten nada cept alittle rain so far.
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#8 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:47 am

Miami has certainly not been hit by any hurricane, at least not that I know of!

Sustained hurricane force winds were NOT felt here during Frances.
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#9 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:14 am

Well at this rate I expect Houston to be 'Threatened' By a formidable Hurricane before it's all said and done. Not saying we are going to get hit but we will be in the infamous "cone". LOL
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#10 Postby charley » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:50 am

The original poster didn't say Tampa or Miami were HIT by hurricanes this season..........what was said was how amazing it is that Tampa, Miami and NO have all been in the path of a major hurricane in one season.

Charley threatened Tampa.
Frances threatened Miami.
Ivan threatens New Orleans.

Read the original poster's words again. Carefully. No one said anything about being HIT, only about being in the pathway. And the original poster is correct ~ it is incredible that 3 big cities have had to worry about direct hits from major hurricanes in the same season.

~Kate
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#11 Postby Foladar » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:54 am

We weren't really "threatened" by Frances, either..we were in the cone of error, but we always are..
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#12 Postby soonertwister » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:37 am

About 72 hours prior to landfall, MIA was projected to get a direct hit from Charley.

Just thought I needed to mention that fact.

The NHC has been right of track consistently this season, with the exception of Frances, which they got just about right.

Right now, Ivan is west of where the NHC said he would be five days ago, by more than 500 miles. But let's not worry that another 100 miles west in one day means that Ivan strikes WEST of NOLA...
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#13 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:39 am

soonertwister wrote:About 72 hours prior to landfall, MIA was projected to get a direct hit from Charley.

Just thought I needed to mention that fact.

The NHC has been right of track consistently this season, with the exception of Frances, which they got just about right.

Right now, Ivan is west of where the NHC said he would be five days ago, by more than 500 miles. But let's not worry that another 100 miles west in one day means that Ivan strikes WEST of NOLA...


Was Miami really in the Charley cone 72 hours out? I don't remember. Even so, it seemed rather apparent that Charley, like Ivan, wasn't going to make that turn soon and sharp enough to get a rise out of Miami.
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Foladar

#14 Postby Foladar » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:42 am

Patrick99 wrote:
soonertwister wrote:About 72 hours prior to landfall, MIA was projected to get a direct hit from Charley.

Just thought I needed to mention that fact.

The NHC has been right of track consistently this season, with the exception of Frances, which they got just about right.

Right now, Ivan is west of where the NHC said he would be five days ago, by more than 500 miles. But let's not worry that another 100 miles west in one day means that Ivan strikes WEST of NOLA...


Was Miami really in the Charley cone 72 hours out? I don't remember. Even so, it seemed rather apparent that Charley, like Ivan, wasn't going to make that turn soon and sharp enough to get a rise out of Miami.


Hmm I don't remember that either, I don't think anyone was even worried with Charley here, nor Ivan after seeing how far west it went, only Frances, but slightly.
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