That's It...I'm Calling a NW Movement Now...

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otowntiger
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#21 Postby otowntiger » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:52 am

What's so funny about this thread is that the guy from New Orleans thinks its headed his way and the guy from Mobile thinks its headed his way! Hopefully both of you are wrong and it does little damage to those wonderfully unique yet vulnerable and sizable cities. Lets just hope the weakening trend continues (i.e. pressure is up dramatically from last night should result in the significant lessening of the winds before landfall)
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#22 Postby Ixolib » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:54 am

otowntiger wrote:What's so funny about this thread is that the guy from New Orleans thinks its headed his way and the guy from Mobile thinks its headed his way! Hopefully both of you are wrong and it does little damage to those wonderfully unique yet vulnerable and sizable cities. Lets just hope the weakening trend continues (i.e. pressure is up dramatically from last night should result in the significant lessening of the winds before landfall)


Yeah, funny - that's a good choice of words - NOT. Of course, if I was in Orlando, perhaps I'd think that way too. :roll: :roll: :roll:
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#23 Postby otowntiger » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:02 am

Ixolib wrote:
otowntiger wrote:What's so funny about this thread is that the guy from New Orleans thinks its headed his way and the guy from Mobile thinks its headed his way! Hopefully both of you are wrong and it does little damage to those wonderfully unique yet vulnerable and sizable cities. Lets just hope the weakening trend continues (i.e. pressure is up dramatically from last night should result in the significant lessening of the winds before landfall)


Yeah, funny - that's a good choice of words - NOT. Of course, if I was in Orlando, perhaps I'd think that way too. :roll: :roll: :roll:


Well maybe sad, twisted are better words. How about that? Hey, Im from Louisiana, born and raised there, family still lives in BR. I know hurricanes are not to play around with. Actually we here in Orlando know a couple things about hurricanes. We had over 100mph winds with Charley, destruction everywhere. Many roofs still have tarps due to damage. I lost all my trees, was without power for a week and we were over 100 miles inland from where he hit land. I know it is not a joking matter, but it is sad that those two are arguing over who gets the storm.
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#24 Postby Ixolib » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:19 am

Yes, Oto, I agree with you - sad. Thanks for replying, I now see your point better!!
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Sean in New Orleans
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#25 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:21 am

otowntiger wrote:What's so funny about this thread is that the guy from New Orleans thinks its headed his way and the guy from Mobile thinks its headed his way! Hopefully both of you are wrong and it does little damage to those wonderfully unique yet vulnerable and sizable cities. Lets just hope the weakening trend continues (i.e. pressure is up dramatically from last night should result in the significant lessening of the winds before landfall)

Where does it state that I think it's coming to New Orleans? I'm still not sure where it is going to land after 4 hours sleep....
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#26 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:21 am

wxman57 wrote:
kokomo wrote:Plot the vector and don't consider extra variables and looks like New Orleans to me. Forward momentum picks up and you can forget any delineation from this till after landfall.



Kokomo, your arrow doesn't go through the center of the eye on that 2nd image. The northern half of the eye is covered by cirrus, so you drew the arrow through the southern part of the eye. True extrapolation takes it east of New Orleans, and it IS continuing a gradual northward turn.

And yes, there are a few New Orleans fear-mongerers posting here (like Sean) trying to stir things up. I do think that they want Ivan to hit New Orleans. Try to tell them it will miss New Orleans and they get hysterical and call you names.

Looks more like Ivan will make landfall near Mobile Bay, or even on the east side of Mobile Bay.


Very very good post Wxman57. It's NOT going to make landfall in the
New Orleans area.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#27 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:24 am

Stormcenter wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
kokomo wrote:Plot the vector and don't consider extra variables and looks like New Orleans to me. Forward momentum picks up and you can forget any delineation from this till after landfall.



Kokomo, your arrow doesn't go through the center of the eye on that 2nd image. The northern half of the eye is covered by cirrus, so you drew the arrow through the southern part of the eye. True extrapolation takes it east of New Orleans, and it IS continuing a gradual northward turn.

And yes, there are a few New Orleans fear-mongerers posting here (like Sean) trying to stir things up. I do think that they want Ivan to hit New Orleans. Try to tell them it will miss New Orleans and they get hysterical and call you names.

Looks more like Ivan will make landfall near Mobile Bay, or even on the east side of Mobile Bay.


Very very good post Wxman57. It's NOT going to make landfall in the
New Orleans area.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Still looks dead on with where I've been thinking since last night---Mississippi storm...
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#28 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:32 am

wxman57 wrote:And yes, there are a few New Orleans fear-mongerers posting here (like Sean) trying to stir things up. I do think that they want Ivan to hit New Orleans. Try to tell them it will miss New Orleans and they get hysterical and call you names.


I've been waiting for someone to say that. It's so annoying.
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