Jeanne and the East Coast

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Novacane
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#21 Postby Novacane » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:02 am

Bastardi and DT are both saying this is most likely a GOM event and they've both been good on their long-range calls this season.

Suffice it to say that, once again, everyone from Hatteras to Galveston probably ought to keep an eye Jeanne.

Like there hasn't already been enough to fret about this season.... :roll:
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Josephine96

#22 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:04 am

LOL too much to fret about.. :roll:

If bad things really do come in 3's.. then this could be Florida's 4TH if Ivan hits the panhandle..
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#23 Postby Skywatch_NC » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:04 am

It would seem then that w/ this New England/NW Atlantic high pressure...that would eventually steer Jeanne NE out into the open Atlantic and not be a threat to the USA. A fish then at least for the states...we can only hope.

Eric
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#24 Postby weatherwoman » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:06 am

jeanne will stall for about 5 days after it gets done with the islands and then head into florida or south of it into the gulf
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#25 Postby MBryant » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:06 am

Does the high building to the north and northeast set Jeanne up for a Betsey scenario?
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#26 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:06 am

My this thread got popular..

Yes we can only hope Jeanne stays out at sea.. It'll be something to watch the next 5-7 days..
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#27 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:08 am

weatherwoman wrote:jeanne will stall for about 5 days after it gets done with the islands and then head into florida or south of it into the gulf


jeanne is going to stall with a building ridge to her north? isnt the scnario ivan stalls and builds heights to the east and lets jeanne take the southerly route?
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#28 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:09 am

J- I think that sounds more correct
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#29 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:11 am

hmmm... interesting.. this is most interesting... from HPC PRELIM DAY 7..

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_precolor.html
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#30 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:12 am

Josephine96 wrote:J- I think that sounds more correct


lets see what weatherwoman has in store for jeanne
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#31 Postby Skywatch_NC » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:13 am

yoda wrote:hmmm... interesting.. this is most interesting... from HPC PRELIM DAY 7..

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_precolor.html


That sure wouldn't bode well for the Carolinas...

Eric
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#32 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:14 am

yoda wrote:hmmm... interesting.. this is most interesting... from HPC PRELIM DAY 7..

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_precolor.html


hmm...where is ivan?
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Re: Jeanne and the East Coast

#33 Postby indiboxer » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:31 am

Josephine96 wrote:Central Fla has still never seen a landfall from a major {thank God Frances weakened}.. but this could be the 1 if she rapidly intensifies



FYI
Central FL has been hit by category 3 hurricanes. This shows they have been more then any other part of the state, including South Florida.

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/media/graph ... 192953.gif
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#34 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:32 am

Ok.. some idiot told me Central Fla was never hit by a major

{slaps self}
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#35 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:32 am

jlauderdal wrote:
yoda wrote:hmmm... interesting.. this is most interesting... from HPC PRELIM DAY 7..

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_precolor.html


hmm...where is ivan?


Ivan is gone... he has dissapated by this time.

96HR VT 19/1200Z 35.5N 84.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
120HR VT 20/1200Z 35.5N 84.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
(from NHC)
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#36 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:36 am

Ivan's long gone by that time I'm sure..

If any of you guys wanna see my thoughts on Jeanne.. check out "my 1st forecast" thread.. :wink:
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#37 Postby indiboxer » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:40 am

Josephine96 wrote:Ok.. some idiot told me Central Fla was never hit by a major

{slaps self}


That is OK. My in laws in Orlando always say the same thing and I just digged and researched to prove them wrong. I was surprised by this too. My friend in Jacksonville said they never got hit either.



Thank you for all of your information. It is helpful.

8-)
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#38 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:44 am

yoda wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
yoda wrote:hmmm... interesting.. this is most interesting... from HPC PRELIM DAY 7..

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_precolor.html


hmm...where is ivan?


Ivan is gone... he has dissapated by this time.

96HR VT 19/1200Z 35.5N 84.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
120HR VT 20/1200Z 35.5N 84.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
(from NHC)


yeah i know...i am saving that map and we will see where jeanne is in 7 days in relation to that map.
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#39 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:45 am

Yup, same here.
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rbaker

#40 Postby rbaker » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:49 am

how many times do we have to not pay attn to these 5 day forecast, when they change every 6hrs? Ive learned this year to quit paying attn to these forecast way far out, they are unrealiable to say the least. Just look at Ivan.
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