Who Else Thinks Ivan Might Turn at the Last Minute ??

Ivanova · #1 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:38 pm

I saw his turn of direction earlier today from NW to N...
seems to me Ivan was avoiding hitting land again.

Remember Jamaica ?

:?:

#2 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:40 pm

I'm gonna leave this one up to someone who can respond nicely...my lips are sealed.

Innotech · #3 Postby **Innotech** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:40 pm

yeah I think he will jump a bit after hitting land. Not very far, but noticeable.

#4 Postby **stormcloud** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:42 pm

No mountains in Mobile...

GOMer · #5 Postby **GOMer** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:43 pm

It looks like Ivan is going to go right up Mobile Bay and suck out every last bit of water he can

Ivanova · #6 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:44 pm

Ivan was heading NW towards that little peninsula of land off LA...
then he redirected due N... as if to avoid it !

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Guest · #7 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:45 pm

Hurricanes have always tended to bend to the left on landfall here on the North Gulf Coast and then resume its original motion, Winds are bolwing steady 15 - 20 knots here, with 30 - 35 knots in gust, we are 15 miles inland from Gulf. Power is blinking, some brownouts, its going downhill from here.

AirmaN · #8 Postby **AirmaN** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:45 pm

Wow, it really did.lol

Guest · #9 Postby **Guest** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:46 pm

Hurricanes have always tended to bend to the left on landfall here on the North Gulf Coast and then resume its original motion, Winds are bolwing steady 15 - 20 knots here, with 30 - 35 knots in gust, we are 15 miles inland from Gulf. Power is blinking, some brownouts, its going downhill from here.

Possum Trot · #10 Postby **Possum Trot** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:46 pm

Which way do you think he will go?

Ivanova · #11 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:46 pm

Looks like Ivan is strengthening... his eye is very well defined...
but I don't have a trained eye... so what say ya'll ??

:?:

Sanibel · #12 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:50 pm

Looks like he is slowing and therefore could possibly hit slightly more east of Mobile...

Ivanova · #13 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:52 pm

Frederic1979 wrote:
Hurricanes have always tended to bend to the left on landfall
here on the North Gulf Coast...

Left would be New Orleans... right ??

:?:

MBryant · #14 Postby **MBryant** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:53 pm

My observation has been that the storms that "change direction at landfall" are usually approaching the coast at an acute angle. I don't remember many moving as they approach perpendicular to the coastline.

#15 Postby **vbhoutex** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:56 pm

He has begun a slight turn NNNNE. Latest long was 88.2, previous to that it was 88.3, previous to that 88.2.

Look at the vis loop.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m8vis.html

Ivanova · #16 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:56 pm

Possum Trot wrote:
Which way do you think he will go?

Either way.

I can't see landfall at predictable Mobile
for this unpredictable Russian

West to New Orleans, maybe ??

But who am I to say.

Ivanova · #17 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:58 pm

I remember how Ivan skirted Jamaica...
this guy has talent

*

#18 Postby **vbhoutex** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:58 pm

Not likely anywhere West of Mobile since he has started to nudge back NNNNE.

dennis1x1 · #19 Postby **dennis1x1** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:00 pm

i like the looks of the nnnnnne movement....i think keeping the eastern eyewall out of the bay is a good thing......much better if they get the northern wall.

Ivanova · #20 Postby **Ivanova** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:02 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Not likely anywhere West of Mobile
since he has started to nudge back
NNNNE.

Like a car getting ready to turn left...
he edges slightly right first... to make
the turn ??

:?:

Who Else Thinks Ivan Might Turn at the Last Minute ??

Who Else Thinks Ivan Might Turn at the Last Minute ??

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