18Z GFS: Jeanne hits FL...TWICE!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Scott_inVA
Storm2k Forecaster
Storm2k Forecaster
Posts: 1238
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
Location: Lexington, Virginia
Contact:

18Z GFS: Jeanne hits FL...TWICE!

#1 Postby Scott_inVA » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:54 pm

Covering Ivan & just noticed the 18Z GFS brings Jeanne into S FL then after a brief vacation at the Yucatan, comes back and hits the west coast.

Oh..then gets SC.

Not funny, I know but when one sees this while living on 4 hours sleep, it's rather amusing.

Maybe it is seeing Jeanne actually going into the GOM which still seems how this will work out (I think :roll: )

Jeanne map link under Ivan map
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm

Scott
0 likes   

FLLuckyAgain
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 59
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:58 pm

#2 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:58 pm

GFS..=Good for Sh!t
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#3 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:59 pm

Hehe, we will see... but methinks it is on crack here. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneQueen
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1011
Age: 80
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:36 pm
Location: No. Naples, Fl (Vanderbilt Beach area)

#4 Postby HurricaneQueen » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:00 pm

What a mish-mash. That certainly isn't very informative but it is amusing. As always, thanks, Scott. Don't know how you find enough hours in the day to do all that you do. Getting little sleep frees up some time but still...

Try to rest up as it looks as if we may have a few more busy weeks coming.

Lynn
0 likes   
GO FLORIDA GATORS

User avatar
cape_escape
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 745
Age: 56
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 2:39 am
Location: Cape Coral Florida
Contact:

#5 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:01 pm

Ok...All hurricanes hear this! "FLORIDA IS OFF LIMITS FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR!!!" Don't I only wish it were that easy??
0 likes   

User avatar
Windy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1628
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:13 pm

#6 Postby Windy » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:01 pm

The models know we're twitchy. I imagine BAM and NOGAPS got together and put GFS up to it. "Do it, man! Seriously! Freak 'em out! Hey, have it come back and hit New Orleans!"
0 likes   

User avatar
cape_escape
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 745
Age: 56
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 2:39 am
Location: Cape Coral Florida
Contact:

#7 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:07 pm

Windy wrote:The models know we're twitchy. I imagine BAM and NOGAPS got together and put GFS up to it. "Do it, man! Seriously! Freak 'em out! Hey, have it come back and hit New Orleans!"


To quote a favorite movie...Payback..."that's just mean!!!!!"
0 likes   

wabbitoid
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 93
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 4:42 pm
Location: Saint Paul, Minnesota
Contact:

#8 Postby wabbitoid » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:30 pm

What's funny is that most of those models have Jeanne crashing into Hispanola. What happens after that isn't all that important, as it won't be much of a storm, IMHO.
0 likes   

Guest

#9 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:32 pm

^^^ if we got an inch of rain from jeanne it would be too much... winds aren't everything.
0 likes   

User avatar
melhow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 362
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:00 pm
Location: Safety Harbor, FL

#10 Postby melhow » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:33 pm

uh.....nice....really no better than the earlier UKMET coming back on us with it's venomous cobra-like stike...geez......
0 likes   

User avatar
btangy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 758
Joined: Fri Sep 19, 2003 11:06 pm
Location: Boulder, CO
Contact:

#11 Postby btangy » Wed Sep 15, 2004 10:54 pm

Jeanne is going to be a nightmare to predict with that much divergence in the long term. Maybe the Dominican Republic will take care of Jeanne since any track over the island might completely destroy the very small circulation.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher2
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 282
Joined: Mon Sep 06, 2004 4:51 pm
Location: Central Florida

#12 Postby wxwatcher2 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:03 pm

Too late guys.
Fla has a big fat bulls eye on it this year.
I can't believe we have a storm every week

Give us a BREAK...
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 191 guests