Hurricane Jeanne, Now Official!

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charleston_hugo_veteran
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Hurricane Jeanne, Now Official!

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 16, 2004 6:55 am

Hurricane JEANNE




000
WTNT31 KNHC 161133
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST THU SEP 16 2004

...JEANNE BECOMES A HURRICANE...THE 6TH OF THE 2004 SEASON...NEAR
THE EASTERN TIP OF HISPANIOLA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN
COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM LA PLATA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF PUERTO
PLATA WESTWARD TO MONTE CRISTO. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO
A HURRICANE WARNING LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA
WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
LIKELY ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND DOPPLER RADAR FROM PUERTO RICO
INDICATE THAT JEANNE HAS BECOME A HURRICANE. AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST...OVER THE EASTERN TIP OF HISPANIOLA OR CABO
ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JEANNE HUGS THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. CABO ENGANO RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56
MPH...91 KM/HR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65
KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER THIS MORNING.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO
RICO DURING THE DAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES. SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
MORE THAN A FOOT OF RAIN...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...WITH NAGUABO IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND HAVING
RECEIVED MORE THAN 20 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER PUERTO RICO. MANY RIVERS ON PUERTO RICO ARE ALREADY AT OR
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...18.7 N... 68.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
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#2 Postby krisj » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:15 am

WooHoo! It seems like they all become hurricanes.
I am not worried though. I know when the cone points to us this far our that we are safe, safe, safe.
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#3 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:17 am

krisj wrote:WooHoo! It seems like they all become hurricanes.
I am not worried though. I know when the cone points to us this far our that we are safe, safe, safe.


I would'nt say that.....stay tuned!
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#4 Postby krisj » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:20 am

Oh, I will stay tuned as usual. My neighbors all joke that I always know the most up to date info and they won't even worry until I do.
We just finished off the last of our hurricane supplies.
I just can't figure the big difference in Accuweather's track and the others. Accuweather's is way out there.
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#5 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:21 am

I really htink florida and hte east coast are safe from Jeanne
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#6 Postby jabber » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:22 am

She is going to be ripped apart......
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#7 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:23 am

Innotech wrote:I really htink florida and hte east coast are safe from Jeanne


I got your crow ready ....just in case! :wink:
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#8 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:24 am

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:
Innotech wrote:I really htink florida and hte east coast are safe from Jeanne


I got your crow ready ....just in case! :wink:


I ate osme with Ivan. Its not that bad really. tastes like chicken
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#9 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:24 am

jabber wrote:She is going to be ripped apart......


thats hwy I said Florida are safe
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#10 Postby Skywatch_NC » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:25 am

Yes, let's pray and hope that Jeanne is taken care of by the DR mountains...

Eric
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#11 Postby CourierPR » Thu Sep 16, 2004 7:44 am

Folks, be advised that the NHC forecasts no change in intensity while the storm hugs the DR coastline. They also expect a turn to the west-northwest. It's all in the latest bulletin.
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