Jeanne--I'm impressed--Now What??

[Vortex]

Well, looks like she's survived. Remarkable given the length of time and topography crossed..LLC is beocoming better defined...Should be interesting later tonight and Saturday....The point is she has done what very few have ever been able to do especially given her strength upon landfall.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Well, looks like she's survived. Remarkable given the length of time and topography crossed..LLC is beocoming better defined...Should be interesting later tonight and Saturday....The point is she has done what very few have ever been able to do especially given her strength upon landfall.

IMHO....A strong Cat1 w/ landfall between Savannah and Jacksonville

[Aimless]

Now what??? We watch, wait and worry.

[KWT]

well yes it's survieved the impossible,it was mission impossible if she stayed over there for more then 12 hours and survive,but shes done it.

[Cookiely]

I guess we live with the "cone of terror" for a few more days.

[feederband]

"CONE OF DOOM" Just my own saying......

[tronbunny]

Anyone know the damage on DR/Haiti?

[Weatherboy1]

MON-FRI...THE ONLY THING CERTAIN ABOUT THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD
IS ITS COMPLEXITY. FORECAST FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE DICTATED BY
EVENTUAL TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE JEANNE AND THE
REMNANTS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE IVAN. DEEP LAYER
ANTICYCLONE PROGGED BY ALL MODELS TO BUILD SOUTHWARD TO THE
NORTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC STATES WITH RIDGE AXIS EVENTUALLY EXTENDING
SOUTHWEST TO THE LOWER PLAINS. THIS RIDGE WILL BLOCK THE NORTHWARD
MOTION OF IVAN'S REMNANTS AS WELL AS ADVANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
JEANNE...ASSUMING IT RECOVERS AFTER EXITING HISPANIOLA AND LIFTS
NORTH THROUGH THE BAHAMAS.

MODELS ALL HANDLE EVOLUTION OF RIDGE SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT...WITH
PRONOUNCED DIFFERENCES IN HANDLING OF IVAN/JEANNE. POSSIBILITY EXISTS
FOR BINARY INTERACTION BETWEEN IVAN'S REMNANTS AS THEY ARE FORCED
SOUTHWARD AND CIRCULATION OF JEANNE LIKELY APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHEAST. GIVEN THAT POTENTIAL AFFECTS ARE STILL BE IN THE 4-7
DAY TIME FRAME...UNCERTAINTIES ARE VERY HIGH. NHC FORECAST BRINGS
JEANNE'S OUTER CIRCULATION INTO THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TUESDAY AND
TOWARD THE COAST WEDNESDAY. HAVE FOLLOWED NHC AND HPC TRACK AND
INDICATED WIND SHIFTS ASSOCIATED WITH CIRCULATION CENTER TRANSITTING
NORTHERN CWA FROM EAST TO WEST WED-THU. NOTE THAT FORECAST WIND
SPEEDS AT THIS DISTANT TIME PERIOD ARE CAPPED AT 34 KNOTS GIVEN HIGH
DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTLY. HAVE LIKEWISE HELD POPS TO SCATTERED CATEGORY
FOR NOW.

THAT SAID...A LONG DURATION IMPACT...POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT...TO THE
MARINE/COASTAL PLAIN APPEARS QUITE LIKELY GIVEN GRADIENT BETWEEN
STRONG/BUILDING HIGH TO THE NORTH AND LOWERING PRESSURES TO THE
SOUTH. INITIAL IMPACTS WILL BE FROM BUILDING SEAS/SWELLS...ROUGH
SURF...RIP CURRENTS...AND ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION. ALL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO CHECK UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS THROUGHOUT THE
WEEKEND.

This NWS Melbourne discussion explains the situation pretty well. But if I had to sum it up, I'd say the forecasters are throwing their hands up and saying "Who knows?"

[Matthew5]

Visible shows the LLCC over water again...It also seems to becoming better defined. With a area of convection forming to the east...

[MWatkins]

Lots of dry air ands heering in the area...going to have to pull a Rocky to come back and be significant...and not Rocky from the first fight with Apollo Creed either.

It needs to pull a Rocky from the 2nd fight against Clubber Lang...or that Russian guy.

MW