TD Jeanne likely FISH ...

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Stormtrack03
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TD Jeanne likely FISH ...

#1 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:48 pm

... according to the NHC 5 PM Discussion:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200411.disc.html


Comments welcome.
Last edited by Stormtrack03 on Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Matthew5

#2 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:49 pm

How can it be a fish when it hit the Leewards,Pr,DR,Hati in killed caused the damage it has caused?
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Guest

#3 Postby Guest » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:50 pm

lol you don't know, but you are a goof
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#4 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:50 pm

ok I'll rephrase that, a fish in terms of it not hitting any part of the U.S. coast.
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melhow
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Re: TD Jeanne likely FISH ...

#5 Postby melhow » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:51 pm

Stormtrack03 wrote:... according to the NHC 5 PM Discussion:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/index.php


Comments welcome.


What part of the Index are you posting to?
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dennis1x1

#6 Postby dennis1x1 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:51 pm

so that we can stop the boring argument of fish....lets just agree that a fish storm is a future tense description

yay!


i would say its too early to tell whether it will be a fish....however...i would lean that way.
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#7 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:52 pm

whoops, wrong copy / paste. I'll fix it
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#8 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:52 pm

Corrected, link is now to the discussion.
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#9 Postby MBismyPlayground » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:53 pm

Interesting since I am just hearing that it still has 50 mph winds and still has somewhat of an eye.
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Lebowsky

#10 Postby Lebowsky » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:53 pm

Time to Happy Dance!!!

(tired of hurricanes)
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Guest

#11 Postby Guest » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:53 pm

"whoops, wrong copy / paste. I'll fix it"

lol that's why I called you a goof.
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#12 Postby MortisFL » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:54 pm

Stormtrack...why do you constantly jump the gun on a system? Every advisory is changing, plus don't look out 5 days to make a prediction.
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#13 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:54 pm

NCstateWOLF wrote:"whoops, wrong copy / paste. I'll fix it"

lol that's why I called you a goof.


lol.... thanks for noting of my mistake ;).
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#14 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:56 pm

MortisFL wrote:Stormtrack...why do you constantly jump the gun on a system? Every advisory is changing, plus don't look out 5 days to make a prediction.


i couldnt agree more..it gets ridiculous after awhile
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#15 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:57 pm

Lebowsky wrote:Time to Happy Dance!!!

(tired of hurricanes)



I'm glad too... hoping that we wont see too many more this season.
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#16 Postby MWatkins » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:59 pm

No. They are saying we don't know. That track is a classic middle of the road track due to the huge spread...Jeanne could go anywhere and not completely bust that forecast track.

MW
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Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

dennis1x1

#17 Postby dennis1x1 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:59 pm

id say 60% of us would say they want more more more!! and another 40% are probably lying.

why else are we here?


:))
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MannyG

#18 Postby MannyG » Fri Sep 17, 2004 4:02 pm

Read the discussion and I think the NHC is giving up on 5 day forecast for right now. Love it when they said "The UKMET and NOGAPS show a slow westward drift for 4 and 5 days while the GFDL and GFS show a northeast or eastward motion." only to leave it at the same spot for 3 days.

Translation, we don't know which models to believe so we are going to leave it at 29.0 N 75.0 W at the 72, 96, and 120 hour mark. We are tired and exhausted from the last few weeks and are gonna take a rest, see what the models say a few hours from now and play rock, paper, scissors to decide whether we are going to move it east or west.
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#19 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 4:04 pm

LOL Manny - that's probably about right, too
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#20 Postby Stormtrack03 » Fri Sep 17, 2004 4:06 pm

MortisFL wrote:Stormtrack...why do you constantly jump the gun on a system? Every advisory is changing, plus don't look out 5 days to make a prediction.


I'm not jumping the gun. I said its likely a fish at this point, theres always the possibility that bc of 4 - 5 day track errors it can head back to the east coast, but just as of analyzing what i see right now thats what i think, it still may change, no one should let their guard down.
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