New Vortex Fix well to the NE?

9:48 · #1 Postby **9:48** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:33 pm

can't find vortex msg- but sfwmd website is indicating a 1005mb fix at 2:56 well NE of the 1:30 fix- closer to the deep convecton

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/vortex3.gif

x-y-no · #2 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:34 pm

Code: Select all

000
URNT12 KNHC 181856
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/1856Z
B. 21 DEG 43 MIN N
   72 DEG 10 MIN W
C. NA
D. 25 KT
E. 115 DEG 031 NM
F. 218 DEG 30 KT
G. 112 DEG 030 NM
H. EXTRAP 1005 MB
I. 20 C/ 436 M
J. 20 C/ 296 M
K. 20 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1234 /01
O. 0.1/01 NM
P. AF980 0811A JEANNE OB 06
   MAX FL WIND 30 KT SE QUAD 1846Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.

;

BillC · #3 Postby **BillC** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:35 pm

What does that mean?

9:48 · #4 Postby **9:48** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:36 pm

It means Jeanne has weakened to a depression, but is hanging on (just barely).

x-y-no · #5 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:38 pm

Looks like we're getting a new LLC under the convection after the old one fled the scene ...

Awfully weak looking, though.

#6 Postby **MWatkins** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:41 pm

Yep...death certificates should not be written just yet...but we are dealing with an extreemly disorganized system.

MW

Website · #7 Postby **Brent** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:53 pm

30 kt? That translates to 27 kt at the surface. It's really a stretch to call it a depression IMO.

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 2:53 pm

Brent wrote:30 kt? That translates to 27 kt at the surface. It's really a stretch to call it a depression IMO.

should we bury her or does she prefer cremation :roll:

Guest · #9 Postby **Guest** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 3:01 pm

I hope it is buried--I live in Ormond Beach FL, and had the eye of Charlie on exit path over my neighborhood on exit path, and Frances for 36 hours. So much for interesting weather for me!!!

Website · #10 Postby **Brent** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 3:06 pm

Rainband wrote:
Brent wrote:30 kt? That translates to 27 kt at the surface. It's really a stretch to call it a depression IMO.
should we bury her or does she prefer cremation

I'm digging the hole.

Guest · #11 Postby **Guest** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 3:08 pm

I'm digging the hole

Please dig fast!! Tired of cutting up brush with a chansaw, and getting out the ol plywood.

caneman · #12 Postby **caneman** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 3:10 pm

Guys if anything is to be learned from this season it is to expect the unexpected. In years past I would say greater than 50% it would fall apart but this has been the year of strong LLC's and rapid intensification. I ain't given up til the clouds are gone.

#13 Postby **MWatkins** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 3:12 pm

One note...recon will probably find stonger winds now that they have closed off a new center...probably near the colder burst not too far from the aircraft center. They only fixed it at obs 7 so there is plenty of flying left to do...

Probably a minimal TS at 5PM...and looks like no movies for me yet.

MW

#14 Postby **MWatkins** » Sat Sep 18, 2004 3:30 pm

Even more new data...lending support to the disorganized theory.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/URNT12.0409182023

MW

New Vortex Fix well to the NE?

New Vortex Fix well to the NE?

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