IVAN

[Sean in New Orleans]

If Ivan does come back around to the Gulf, how strong do you think the system could rejuvinate? Seriously, could Ivan even return to Hurricane status????

[lilbump3000]

Well i was looking at the 12Z GFS and it does have like a feature tracking across the northern gulf, but at best if he does become something tropical again at best he might just make it up to tropical depression status.

[TS Zack]

He will need time and that is something he won't have.

[PTrackerLA]

I've looked at many visiblie sat. loops and still can't find any kind of circulation left over from Ivan. All I see is an area of low clouds off the NC coast heading south...

[lilbump3000]

Thats what john on wwltv said at noon that the remains might form a surface low of the florida coast and track west across the northern gulf. We will just have to wait and see.

[BayouVenteux]

It would be nice if those remnants could slide far enough west to give south Louisiana some...if you people to our north and east can believe this...much need rainfall. We have been in a mini-drought of sorts since the first week of August.

Precip I'll gladly accept. Development on the other hand...

BTW, if you check out this WV loop you can see an area of greater moisture content sliding south/southwestward over the northeast Florida penisula...perhaps this is the area of Ivan leftovers they are referring to?

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... e&itype=wv

[Sean in New Orleans]

I wouldn't mind a couple of inches of rain, here, from some remnants, either. We really need rain here in New Orleans.

[LAwxrgal]

^ Ivan forgot to give us rain here the 1st time around. We didn't see a drop.

[snowflake]

The weather channel said that it would be a weak feature and that it should take aim on Texas. There is also a cold front that is expected come down towards the mid to latter part of the week.

[KatDaddy]

BEAR WATCH WILL LIKELY BE POSTED




FXUS64 KHGX 192020
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
319 PM CDT SUN SEP 19 2004

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER/MORE STABLE AIRMASS CONTINUING TO FILTER INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTN. WE SHOULD SEE A CLEAR EVENING WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPS RUNNING AT
TO MAY BE A JUST TAD BELOW SEASONAL NORMS. ALL QUIET WXWISE THROUGH
MOST OF TUESDAY. THEREAFTER PROGS ARE BECOMING MORE CONSISTENT WITH
INCREASED MOISTURE/POPS FROM THE EAST (VIA THE REMNANTS OF IVAN) A-
ROUND THE BASE OF THE STRONG RIDGE NUDGING INTO THE OHIO RIVER VLY.
GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATING THAT WE MAY ALSO SEE SOME STRENGTHENING OF
THIS RATHER PERSISTENT STORM. WILL GO WITH 30% POPS STARTING WED ON
THROUGH SAT. BEAR WATCH WILL LIKELY BE POSTED. 41

[KeyLargoDave]

Really, I'm clueless. What is a Bear Watch?

[KatDaddy]

Good question. I have seen it many times.....................ummmmmmm I think I will start a new post on this

[KatDaddy]

Another TX AFD hinting at interesting weather next weekend

San Antonio AFD excerpt:

ON MONDAY EXPECT SHOWER ACTIVITY LIMITED TO VAL VERDE COUNTY NEAR THE
DRY LINE. SOME SEA BREEZE SHOWERS TUESDAY THEN WEAK DISTURBANCES
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY TIME FRAME. WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY
LINGERS ALONG COAST SUNDAY AND MAY INTERACT WITH AN EASTERLY WAVE.
AT THIS POINT...LIMITED POPS THEN TO SE COUNTIES. COULD BE
INTERESTING.

[cind52]

I wouldn't mind a couple of inches of rain, here, from some remnants, either. We really need rain here in New Orleans.

how much rain do you expect? Only rain or should we expect a tropical depression or tropical storm?

[Ivanova]

It is unusually hot here in Dallas for the end of September...
and no rain here either... maybe we are being set up for
something... but the only bears around here are in the zoo


*

[Matt]

I dont think it will regenerate into much. Just my opinion. But, only time will tell