Karl With A Snarl

tropicstorm · #1 Postby **tropicstorm** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:10 pm

I've been watching Karl all day on the sat loops - don't see any hint of NW or even WNW in his track all day. What I do see is due west with a slight WSW jog in the last few frames. Karl hasn't gained any latitude in what - 8 hours or so? I don't think that this due west track was exactly forecasted, was it? Also, all of the models have been pretty much underestimating the Atlantic High this year. Are we all still sure that Karl is going to definitely get picked up by this trough? Starting to look a bit suspect at the moment.

SwampDawg · #2 Postby **SwampDawg** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:17 pm

How strong is the possibility of Karl blowing by the trough?? Just curious of what the board thinks.

Bane · #3 Postby **Bane** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:21 pm

Doubtful. You can see the trough digging ahead of him.

#4 Postby **hial2** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:42 pm

Bane wrote:Doubtful. You can see the trough digging ahead of him.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

The through seems to be weakening, it seems..Is Karl strong enough NOT to be influenced??..unlikely, but until there's a definite move north...

jpigott · #5 Postby **jpigott** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 10:03 pm

latest guidance package for TD13/Lisa seems to have her missing whatever trough is supposed to pick up Karl, whcih is a major deviation from their earlier thinking. Karl will likely still be a fish, but Lisa may slip under the trough. But like others have said with the way this season is going I won't call Karl a fish until he dies somewhere up in the North Atlantic

bahamaswx · #6 Postby **bahamaswx** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 10:06 pm

hial2 wrote:
Bane wrote:Doubtful. You can see the trough digging ahead of him.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

The through seems to be weakening, it seems..Is Karl strong enough NOT to be influenced??..unlikely, but until there's a definite move north...

No hurricane is "strong" enough to ignore the effects of a trough and/or plow through it.

panichead4469 · #7 Postby **panichead4469** » Sun Sep 19, 2004 10:13 pm

It would be hard for me to imagine that Karl would just say,..."aaah, I think I'll give my g/f behind me here, Lisa a ticket straight to Europe while I just "take it easy" for a week or two in the Carribean."

Innotech · #8 Postby **Innotech** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 6:15 am

thats a great sat pic of Ivans remnants tracking through Florida!
I guess they werent joking about that part, but I dont htink Ivan.5 will form into anything signifiant

Karl With A Snarl

Karl With A Snarl

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