JEANNE MODELS
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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ColdFront77
rbaker wrote:gfs for one I know goes out 144 hrs and beyond. How reliable it is, is another story. The TPC only goes out 5 days, which I don't like either. 3 days is much more consistant.
That's true, rbaker. I am aware of models that go out to 144, perhaps even 168 hrs. I was referring to the points on the majorirty of models... beings that the GFS is one that goes out 144 hrs and beyond and several others going out 72 hrs.
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The National Hurricane Center's 5 pm discussion says that the models are in good agreement about a slow North to Northeast motion for 48 hours into a weakness in the Subtropical Ridge created by a huge low moving Eastward over the Canadian Meritimes. After that Jeanne gets close to Karl and they could interact.
The Official Forecast track follows a consensus of all the Global Models showing a slow generally eastward motion.
The Official Forecast track follows a consensus of all the Global Models showing a slow generally eastward motion.
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