He's Back and I quote:

#1 Postby **bfez1** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:46 am

Amazing as it may sound, the remants of Ivan may regenerate into a weak tropical storm and bring tropical storm conditions to the Louisiana coast by Wednesday or Thursday. This possibility has been discussed on various sites and the models (at least some of them) have clearly been tracking a 500mb center around the rebuilding ridge.

The eta clearing has a weak surface low moving from east to west across our coast on Wednesday evening.

This is the ghost of Ivan!!!! It will be completely wild, if this happens. Stay tuned! It shouldn't turn into a big deal, but a tropical storm is certainly possible.

And we definitely need the rain. The west winds blasting behind Ivan has parched us out completely!!!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072s.gif

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

#2 Postby **jlauderdal** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:47 am

bfez1 wrote:Amazing as it may sound, the remants of Ivan may regenerate into a weak tropical storm and bring tropical storm conditions to the Louisiana coast by Wednesday or Thursday. This possibility has been discussed on various sites and the models (at least some of them) have clearly been tracking a 500mb center around the rebuilding ridge.

The eta clearing has a weak surface low moving from east to west across our coast on Wednesday evening.

This is the ghost of Ivan!!!! It will be completely wild, if this happens. Stay tuned! It shouldn't turn into a big deal, but a tropical storm is certainly possible.

And we definitely need the rain. The west winds blasting behind Ivan has parched us out completely!!!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072s.gif

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

we have already had ivan this morning..rain and lots of clouds

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:51 am

I do hope they'd be kind and give him the Matthew name if he regenerates :wink:

GABE · #4 Postby **GABE** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:54 am

no - he should be called Conive'n-Ivan :grrr:

x-y-no · #5 Postby **x-y-no** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:55 am

Ivan Ivanovitch.

panichead4469 · #6 Postby **panichead4469** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:01 am

GABE wrote:no - he should be called Conive'n-Ivan

LOL! I agree that something about Ivan, whether or not it makes any logical sense as far as wx goes-- is out for blood! A last ditch communist effort to enslave the north and central american population?

(of course i'm just kidding) but hey, sometimes it seems like you spend so much time studying or looking up information/the newest data/ etc. on these things that they really do become personified in a humorous or even "murderous" way....hopefully Ivan won't reform, that its all a bad dream and we'll wake up November 1st and it'll all be over!!. :grr:

#7 Postby **Houstonia** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:05 am

from the 2:30 a.m. Hou/Gav discussion:

000

FXUS64 KHGX 200727

AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

226 AM CDT MON SEP 20 2004

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR SOUTHEAST

TEXAS AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. WE START OUT TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY

SKIES AS A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE. BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...

ALL EYES BEGIN TO TURN TO OUR EAST AS WE WATCH INCREASING MOISTURE

MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS

ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF IVAN...AND THE MODELS DO DEVELOP A

WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE GULF. WHETHER OR NOT THIS SYSTEM

TAKES ON TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE

PROGGED TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY (>2 INCHES) ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

PLAN ON INTRODUCING LOW POPS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AND THEN INCREASE

THEM FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY. WILL LOWER POPS A LITTLE FOR NEXT WEEKEND

WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO/THROUGH THE AREA.

THIS WEEK'S FORECAST COULD CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY IF TROPICAL CYCLONE

DEVELOPMENT OCCURS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. WILL CLOSELY MONITOR WHAT

TPC/NHC HAS TO SAY IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WE ARE ON "BEARS WATCH"

STATUS. 42

&&

.AVIATION...

DRIER AIR HAS WORKED INTO THE REGION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE

IS STILL SOME RESIDUAL MOISTURE AT ANGLETON WHICH MAY LEAD TO SOME

LIGHT FOG THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED

AREAWIDE. 46

&&

.MARINE...

EAST WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL TOADY WITH SEAS GENERALLY 3 FEET OR LESS.

A CHANGE COULD BE IN THE OFFING LATER THIS WEEK AS AN AREA OF LOW

PRESSURE WORKS ITS WAY WESTWARD. IT MAY REACH THE COASTAL WATERS ON

THURSDAY. 46

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 91 68 91 69 90 / 00 00 20 20 30

HOUSTON (IAH) 92 68 90 70 89 / 00 20 20 20 30

GALVESTON (GLS) 89 76 88 77 85 / 00 20 20 20 30

&&

$$

NFLnut · #8 Postby **NFLnut** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:10 am

"Ivan Schmiivan, again"

HurryKane · #9 Postby **HurryKane** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:12 am

Ivanasockittuya.

#10 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:38 am

bfez1 wrote:Amazing as it may sound, the remants of Ivan may regenerate into a weak tropical storm and bring tropical storm conditions to the Louisiana coast by Wednesday or Thursday. This possibility has been discussed on various sites and the models (at least some of them) have clearly been tracking a 500mb center around the rebuilding ridge.

The eta clearing has a weak surface low moving from east to west across our coast on Wednesday evening.

This is the ghost of Ivan!!!! It will be completely wild, if this happens. Stay tuned! It shouldn't turn into a big deal, but a tropical storm is certainly possible.

And we definitely need the rain. The west winds blasting behind Ivan has parched us out completely!!!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072s.gif

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

In regards to the precip potential, while I like Bernard's optimism, it appears to me that at present, the ETA is the only model showing precip bands reaching the south Louisiana coastal plain...everything else I've looked at in the last 6 hours keeps us pretty well locked in under the perma-dome of high pressure and the rain well to the south.

While ridge positions have been our salvation this hurricane season, and for that I'm VERY thankful...it's getting kind of crispy around here.

We shall see.

#11 Postby **Stormcenter** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:49 am

BayouVenteux wrote:
bfez1 wrote:Amazing as it may sound, the remants of Ivan may regenerate into a weak tropical storm and bring tropical storm conditions to the Louisiana coast by Wednesday or Thursday. This possibility has been discussed on various sites and the models (at least some of them) have clearly been tracking a 500mb center around the rebuilding ridge.

The eta clearing has a weak surface low moving from east to west across our coast on Wednesday evening.

This is the ghost of Ivan!!!! It will be completely wild, if this happens. Stay tuned! It shouldn't turn into a big deal, but a tropical storm is certainly possible.

And we definitely need the rain. The west winds blasting behind Ivan has parched us out completely!!!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_072s.gif

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116
In regards to the precip potential, while I like Bernard's optimism, it appears to me that at present, the ETA is the only model showing precip bands reaching the south Louisiana coastal plain...everything else I've looked at in the last 6 hours keeps us pretty well locked in under the perma-dome of high pressure and the rain well to the south.

While ridge positions have been our salvation this hurricane season, and for that I'm VERY thankful...it's getting kind of crispy around here.

We shall see.

Well now that the NHC is mentioning it I'm a "little" concerned.

He's Back and I quote:

He's Back and I quote:

Re: He's Back and I quote:

I posted this on the other Ivan remnants topic

Re: He's Back and I quote:

Re: He's Back and I quote:

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