Radar shows rotation ESE of WPB

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Frank P
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Radar shows rotation ESE of WPB

#1 Postby Frank P » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:04 pm

Miama Radar shows a center of rotation ESE of WPB, not sure if this is at the mid levels or at the surface, but its certainly rotating with feeder bands trying to form within the loop. Movement, if any, appears to be a drift to the west....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml
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#2 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:14 pm

WONDERFUL... :roll: WHAT NEXT??? :eek:
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#3 Postby jpigott » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:15 pm

something looks like its trying to develop ese of WPB on radar (banding and a broad area of circulation), however i don't think there is enough real estate. Development, if any, will likely be in the gulf once this area of disturbed weather crosses over the state.

DISCLAIMER: this is the 2004 hurricane season, so anythings possible I guess
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#4 Postby Zadok » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:18 pm

OH NO! Not again :eek:
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#5 Postby Frank P » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:18 pm

doesn't look like its in any big hurry to get across the state into the GOM... at least not at the moment, from what I can tell from watching the radar loops... maybe someone else has a different opinion though
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#6 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:19 pm

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RAD_ ... mauto.html


This is an even better representation of the Low-level vort that is there. Looks to be getting better defined and moving a tad WSW at the moment.
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#7 Postby jpigott » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:22 pm

any reports out of the Ft. Pierce/Treasure Coast area regarding that nasty line of storms that just came on shore
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#8 Postby Zadok » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:23 pm

The wind and rain has been picking up all day. Wind is going at a pretty good clip now. Is this thing just going to sit there? :grr:
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#9 Postby mascpa » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:24 pm

Partial remnants of Ivan. Raining again in Jupiter. Neglegible wind.
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#10 Postby Nimbus » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:25 pm

Haven't looked at the 500 MB charts yet but will the same ridge that is forecast to shag Jeanne pull this west?
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#11 Postby HurricaneQueen » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:25 pm

I just assumed that it was the remnants of Ivan. It's due to cross the penisula today. Looks as if thre are some serious rainbands embedded on the northeast side.

I'm sure we'll all be anxious to see what develops, if anything and if his girlfriend, Jeanne decides to follow him. Do they make T-shirts large enough to say " I survived Charley, Frances, Ivan(2), Jeanne, Lisa, etc.?"
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#12 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:26 pm

11:30 TWO, there's no debate over whether there's a low or not:

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...A PARTIAL REMNANT OF FORMER TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IVAN...IS LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WEST
PALM BEACH FLORIDA. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO
OCCUR...BUT CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE IN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO.
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#13 Postby Nimbus » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:26 pm

Haven't looked at the 500 MB charts yet but will the same ridge that is forecast to shag Jeanne pull this west?
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#14 Postby cflweather » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:31 pm

Nasty up here in Palm Bay. Looks like more on the way. wind is kind of gusty at times
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#15 Postby Steve » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:32 pm

Joe B believes it's a trackable entity (MLC from Ivan) that he's followed the windfield since Friday on the DelMarva Peninsula. His take (after it was clear that the stall-option wasn't going to pan out) that remnants would shear off and the LLC or MLC would come SE, S, SW, WSW, W into the Gulf. His current thinking (at least as of this morning's writeup) was that a 50-60 knot tropical storm would be off the Texas Coast on Friday and bring upwards of 5-10" of rainfall to that area as it slows. If it verifies, you Texans out there won't be left high and dry this season.

Steve
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#16 Postby skysummit » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:33 pm

You can clearly see a center of circulation off the Miami radar. Right now it's appx 60 miles ENE of the KAMX radar site. It doesn't look to be moving much though.
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#17 Postby Portastorm » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:39 pm

Oh, we (Texans) are watching. Don't worry.

I have read JB's rant about this system and how the potential is there for organization and some strengthening.

Strangely, some of the NWS offices in Texas this afternoon are understating the threat, calling it a "easterly wave". My sense is that if this system develops as some think, it's gonna be a heckuva lot more than that.
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#18 Postby Sanibel » Mon Sep 20, 2004 4:35 pm

There's a weak disturbance overhead here...
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#19 Postby stormie_skies » Mon Sep 20, 2004 4:50 pm

Steve :eek: I was starting to wonder how we were getting so lucky .... perhaps we wont be for long. Maybe I should pull that hurricane kit together after all... :wink:
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#20 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Sep 20, 2004 4:52 pm

At 3:53 pm EDT, Fort Pierce reported Rain Fog/Mist with a NE wind at 14 mph, gusting to 28 mph.
Barometric pressure was 1012.0 mb (29.89 in.)... up to 1012.6 mb (29.90 in.) an hour later.
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