Is it me or is IVAN JR.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

Is it me or is IVAN JR.....

#1 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Sep 20, 2004 6:58 pm

Practicing Daddy IVAN's tricks at avoiding landmasses. Because whatever low level or mid level circulation there is looks to be heading to the SSW at the moment. Here take a look for your self.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RAD_ ... mauto.html
0 likes   

kevin

#2 Postby kevin » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:01 pm

Very cool radar site! Thanks for the link. I don't exactly see the SSW motion.
0 likes   

Guest

#3 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:06 pm

Great link it seems to reforming south. Water temp is quite warm down there. 87 http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=LONF1
0 likes   

User avatar
huricanwatcher
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 65
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 6:09 pm
Location: Kirkwood NY
Contact:

#4 Postby huricanwatcher » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:09 pm

oh will ya'll stop....... IVAN has left the building and will not reicarnate anywheres.. ENOUGH ALREADY
0 likes   

kevin

#5 Postby kevin » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:09 pm

Pressure from that bouy is pretty low. What's the estimated pressure with this storm?
0 likes   

kevin

#6 Postby kevin » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:10 pm

oh will ya'll stop....... IVAN has left the building and will not reicarnate anywheres.. ENOUGH ALREADY<<

There is a low level circulation that made the TWO twice today. Its worth watching. :)
0 likes   

tracyswfla
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 792
Joined: Tue May 18, 2004 1:19 pm
Location: Rochester, NY

Re: Is it me or is IVAN JR.....

#7 Postby tracyswfla » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:10 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Practicing Daddy IVAN's tricks at avoiding landmasses. Because whatever low level or mid level circulation there is looks to be heading to the SSW at the moment. Here take a look for your self.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RAD_ ... mauto.html


To avoid any controversy, that LLC is located just West of me. Has been raining on and off all day and looks like it will be raining a bit harder tonight!
0 likes   

Matthew5

#8 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:10 pm

I think a LLCC has formed...The nhc now has the choice to make the upgrade...As for the pressure it is 1008 millibars.
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#9 Postby dhweather » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:11 pm

I know I spent a lot of time looking into Ivan's eye,
but there is something strange about that loop - just seems like a little circulation there.
0 likes   

Guest

#10 Postby Guest » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:13 pm

Matt 5 Where do you think the center is right now? I bet if it keeps strenghtening tomorrow morning you might see classification
0 likes   

User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#11 Postby Ixolib » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:14 pm

Looks like those storms in the north bands are holding together pretty good too - even inland...
0 likes   
Betsy '65, Camille '69, Frederic '79, Elena '85, Georges '98, Isidore '02, Katrina '05, Isaac '12, Nate '17

User avatar
sfwx
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 371
Age: 59
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:53 pm
Location: Rural St. Lucie County, Fl

#12 Postby sfwx » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:15 pm

This info is from Port Saint Lucie, Fl

Weather conditions at CW0262
Last report received 4 seconds ago

Wind Calm Gusts to 5.0 MPH out of the West
Temp 69 F Humidity 100% Rain last 24 hours 3.06 inches
Pressure 29.85 in/1010.7

We are getting pretty heavy rain. I feel for the people whose houses aren't tarped up correctly.

Eric
0 likes   

snowflake
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 113
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 12:36 pm
Location: Louisana

#13 Postby snowflake » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:19 pm

The local mets said that it would not develop. All they are expecting is about a 40% chance of rain Thursday through Friday.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

#14 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:19 pm

This system is SO disorganized that I don't know how anyone can call this to develop within the next 24 hours AT LEAST.

Let it go over Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico, then we'll talk...
0 likes   

Matthew5

#15 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:25 pm

The center is around 25.5/79.9 it is around 50 miles east-northeast of Miami Florida. It is moving southwest...Most of the rain in winds are to the north of the cirualtion of the tropical distrabance.
0 likes   

User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#16 Postby feederband » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:30 pm

I took me a while but I think I see what he is looking at. 3 qtrs though the loop there appears to be a circulation go ssw it only shows for a second .you have to watch it over and over to see it.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#17 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:33 pm

snowflake wrote:The local mets said that it would not develop. All they are expecting is about a 40% chance of rain Thursday through Friday.


Who and where?
0 likes   

DAVE440
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 192
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 5:12 pm
Location: Ft.Lauderdale Florida
Contact:

#18 Postby DAVE440 » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:37 pm

I'm no forecaster...but appears to me the CC is between the Ft Laud and West Palm Lettering on this radar shot. Then again....a slightly tighter looking spin just east of miami. Could all just be broad circulation or an actual LLCC I cant pick out. Either way...the center is very close to land and crossing fl will probably kill it...or....it will cross over into the gulf as a low...and who knows from there...?

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kamx.shtml

Very nice outside. Cool ...72 degrees and breezy. Winds were out of the NE earlier today now out of the wnw as the system has continued moving to the west or just slightly south of west sloowly. Only had a few light showers today...most of the rain to our north.

Clouds overhead are typical in appearance of a tropical system approaching. High level clouds unmoving for the most s...and plenty of low level clouds swirling around an obvious low to the east. Darker skies to the east over the water also.

[/url]
0 likes   

Javlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1621
Age: 64
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: ms gulf coast

#19 Postby Javlin » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:41 pm

Yea it won't strength that's why there's an invest.Practice run haven't had enough this summer.
0 likes   

Guadua
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:33 pm
Location: Loxahatchee, Florida

#20 Postby Guadua » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:47 pm

The miami radar shows the center on or just southwest of Bimini island, bahamas....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kamx.shtml
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 161 guests