Is it me or is IVAN JR.....

#21 Postby **SeaBrz_FL** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:50 pm

I was inland (Orlando) most of today and there were rains and clouds, but once I got back to the coast, the weather was a different deal. Getting over the high-rise bridges back to the coast was "interesting" and the sea waves are 6-8 feet. I also had horizontal rain hitting me just an hour ago. I'm sure these are bands (from radar looks) and south of me is getting the worse of it. Granted, this is NOT a serious TC, but we also weren't expecting it, and this is also NOT a typical FL afternoon thunderstorm

Website · #22 Postby **FritzPaul** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:52 pm

Excert from 8:05pm GOM discussion:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml?

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH MOVED OFF THE E COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES YESTERDAY HAS AMPLIFIED SW INTO THE GLFMEX WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM N FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. ATTENDANT
SURFACE COLD FRONT IS PUSHING SWD OVER THE W ATLC AND FLORIDA
JUST S OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE UPPER TROUGH IS ACCOMPANIED BY
SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS COVERING
ALL BUT THE EXTREME SE PORTION OF THE GLFMEX. AS A
RESULT...DEEP CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY CONFINED OVER INTERIOR
MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WHERE MOISTURE IS MORE
PREVALENT. AT THE SURFACE...1008 MB LOW WHICH FORMED FROM THE
REMNANTS OF T.D. IVAN IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE SE COAST OF
FLORIDA NEAR THE ISLAND OF BIMINI IN THE BAHAMAS. WHILE THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SCATTERED
TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE E COAST OF
FLORIDA PRIMARILY FROM PALM BEACH NWD TO CAPE CANAVERAL. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF FLORIDA TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. LATEST WATER
VAPOR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE UPPER TROUGH IS FRACTURING
FORMING A BROAD UPPER LOW OVER THE E GLFMEX. THIS UPPER LOW IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD PRODUCING AN INCREASINGLY
DIVERGENT PATTERN OVER THE N GLFMEX DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS SHOULD ALLOW INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY N OF 25N.

Rainband · #23 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 7:54 pm

Upper low. Hopefully it never gets to the surface :wink:

Wnghs2007 · #24 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 8:30 pm

Rainband wrote:Upper low. Hopefully it never gets to the surface

. AT THE SURFACE...1008 MB LOW WHICH FORMED FROM THE
REMNANTS OF T.D. IVAN

Rainband · #25 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 8:35 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:
Rainband wrote:Upper low. Hopefully it never gets to the surface

. AT THE SURFACE...1008 MB LOW WHICH FORMED FROM THE
REMNANTS OF T.D. IVAN

oops read it wrong but still. Nill chance for develop :wink:

#26 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:37 pm

I think we all believe that it won't re-intensify, but it's a possbility....however.....it is pretty darn cool about the trip that he has survived. I know it isn't the same ole' Ivan, but it's at least part of him!

ROCK · #27 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:39 pm

skysummit wrote:I think we all believe that it won't re-intensify, but it's a possbility....however.....it is pretty darn cool about the trip that he has survived. I know it isn't the same ole' Ivan, but it's at least part of him!

SST's running mid-80's say after 90W across to MEX....interesting to watch for us loners out here...

fuzzy · #28 Postby **fuzzy** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 10:00 pm

Disclaimer: I'm a Charley victim/new weather watcher, and no expert by any means.

However, we've been having periods of rain and gusty winds interspersed with calm ever since I got home from work-- it's 11 p.m. now. It's very much like the hurricanes, only about 1% of what we experienced before.

Very interesting.

(Location: northeast Orlando)

Is it me or is IVAN JR.....

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