Remnants of Ivan to cross FL tonight and into the Gulf

[Weatherman911]

The remnants of Ivan is on the east coast of Florida and will cross Florida tonight and tomorrow and will be back into the Gulf of Mexico.

Look at what the low preasure (remnants of Ivan the terrible) is doing from the east coast of FL

Intellicast radar loop:

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLoca ... e&pid=none

See where the low (remnants of Ivan) is, this is what is going to cross FL into the Gulf tonight:

http://maps.weather.com/images/maps/cur ... 20x486.jpg

[Rainband]

GULF OF MEXICO...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH MOVED OFF THE E COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES YESTERDAY HAS AMPLIFIED SW INTO THE GLFMEX WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM N FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. ATTENDANT
SURFACE COLD FRONT IS PUSHING SWD OVER THE W ATLC AND FLORIDA
JUST S OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE UPPER TROUGH IS ACCOMPANIED BY
SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS COVERING
ALL BUT THE EXTREME SE PORTION OF THE GLFMEX. AS A
RESULT...DEEP CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY CONFINED OVER INTERIOR
MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WHERE MOISTURE IS MORE
PREVALENT. AT THE SURFACE...1008 MB LOW WHICH FORMED FROM THE
REMNANTS OF T.D. IVAN IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE SE COAST OF
FLORIDA NEAR THE ISLAND OF BIMINI IN THE BAHAMAS. WHILE THERE
ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SCATTERED
TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE E COAST OF
FLORIDA PRIMARILY FROM PALM BEACH NWD TO CAPE CANAVERAL. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF FLORIDA TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. LATEST WATER
VAPOR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE UPPER TROUGH IS FRACTURING
FORMING A BROAD UPPER LOW OVER THE E GLFMEX. THIS UPPER LOW IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD PRODUCING AN INCREASINGLY
DIVERGENT PATTERN OVER THE N GLFMEX DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS SHOULD ALLOW INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY N OF 25N.


Hopefully the ULL never makes it to the surface

[Weatherman911]

560
FXUS62 KMFL 201859
AFDMFL

SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
259 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

 .DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND CAN AT LEAST PARTIALLY BE TRACED BACK TO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OF IVAN. REGARDLESS OF ANY FORMER NAMES, THE AFFECT ON SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE CONTINUED SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT TONIGHT.

 COVERAGE OF STORMS IS GREATEST NORTH OF THE CENTER...AS INDICATED BY PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS. THE MOST RECENT RUN DIDN'T PICK THIS FEATURE UP VERY WELL, SO WILL STICK WITH 06Z AND PRIOR SOLUTIONS.

 THE CIRCULATION CENTER PROJECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS CROSSING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO SOMETIME TOMORROW. THIS WILL SHIFT THE HIGHEST PRECIP PROBABILITIES TOWARD THE WEST COAST FOR TUESDAY.

 HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK...KEEPING US IN A NORTHEAST FLOW REGIME. THUS WILL SEE A EAST COASTAL CLOUDS AND SHOWERS REMAINING. AFTERNOON SEABREEZE INFLUENCES SHOULD FOCUS A BIT MORE ON THE INTERIOR AND GULF COAST.
&&

MARINE...SWELL PROPAGATING SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON.
  BUOYS 9 AND 10 OFF THE EAST CENTRAL FL ATLANTIC COAST SHOWING 11 FOOT SEAS WITH PERIODS GREATER THAN 10 SECONDS. COASTAL SURF CAMS REVEAL THESE ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD DOWN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST WITH JUPITER AND BOCA RATON ALREADY SHOWING SIGNS OF INCREASING WIND WAVE/SWELL ACTION. BREAKERS COULD BE APPROACHING HIGH SURF CRITERIA TOMORROW...SO OVERNIGHT SHIFT WILL HAVE TO MAKE DECISION ON WHETHER OR NOT THIS WILL REACH OUR ZONES TOMORROW.

*** RIP CURRENT THREAT INCREASING AT THE BEACHES ALONG WITH THE SWELLS.***
&&
________________________________________

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"The Weather Group" Web TV weather newsgroup
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[Weatherman911]

Buoy station FWYF1-Fowey Rocks, FL. east coast by (low) remnants of Ivan 26 kts 28 kts gusts, at time 720 pm EDT

If you click onto the box next to the wind speed, it will show you a wind chart.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=FWYF1

[Weatherman911]

NOAA GOES 8, nasa/msfc satellite views.

Visible close satellite view:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... vis&zoom=1

Infrared close satellite view:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =ir&zoom=1
_____________________________
Visible far satellite view:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... vis&zoom=2

Infrared far satellite view:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =ir&zoom=2

For more satellite views, see Lou's Weather Watch link below.
________________________________________

Weatherman911's Weather Page
http://www.geocities.com/weatherman9112 ... spage.html

Lou's Weather Watch
http://community-2.webtv.net/ltursi/LOU ... index.html

[Ivanova]

A friend just called to tell me
that FOX news said that Ivan
may be regenerating in the Gulf
and affecting Texas

*

[snowflake]

The local mets said that Ivan would not regenerate. The National Weather Service said that it would be heading for Texas.

[Weatherman911]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 211506
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JEANNE...LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS..ON HURRICANE KARL...LOCATED ABOUT 1005 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND ON TROPICAL STORM LISA...LOCATED ABOUT 1055 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA...A PARTIAL REMNANT OF FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE IVAN...IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO JUST WEST OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME,
*** BUT CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ***

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
________________________________________

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