11am Karl-125 mph winds, 944 mb pressure

[Brent]

Hurricane Karl Advisory Number 20

Statement as of 11:00 am AST on September 21, 2004

...Karl no threat to land...

At 11 am AST...1500z...the center of Hurricane Karl was located near
latitude 21.4 north...longitude 48.0 west or about 1005
miles...1620 km...east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

Karl is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph...22
km/hr...and a turn toward the north is expected in about 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to have decreased to near 125
mph...205 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some additional weakenin is
possible during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 230 miles...370 km.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 944 mb...27.88 inches.

Repeating the 11 am AST position...21.4 N... 48.0 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...125 mph. Minimum central pressure... 944 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 PM AST.

Forecaster Lawrence

[Brent]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200412.disc.html

forecast positions and Max winds

initial 21/1500z 21.4n 48.0w 110 kt
12hr VT 22/0000z 23.0n 48.8w 120 kt
24hr VT 22/1200z 25.5n 49.6w 115 kt
36hr VT 23/0000z 28.0n 48.6w 110 kt
48hr VT 23/1200z 30.9n 46.9w 105 kt
72hr VT 24/1200z 38.2n 44.4w 85 kt
96hr VT 25/1200z 45.0n 45.0w 65 kt...extratropical
120hr VT 26/1200z 50.0n 42.0w 50 kt...extratropical