AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
245 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2004
.DISCUSSION...
THIS AFTERNOON SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE WORKING
INLAND FROM THE COASTAL PLAINS AFFECTING THE EASTERN COUNTIES OF
THE CWFA. THIS ACTIVITY WAS IN RESPONSE TO THE FIRST BATCH OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO MOVE ONSHORE AS THE EASTERLIES MAKE A BRIEF
RETURN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO LOCATED JUST
WEST OF VAL VERDE COUNTY WHERE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WAS OCCURRING
ALONG A SFC TROF.
THIS EVENING THE CONVECTION WEST OF VAL VERDE COUNTY WILL DIMINISH
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT A FEW STORMS MAY MAKE IT
INTO THE COUNTY SO WILL CONTINUE LOW POPS OVERNIGHT OUT WEST. THE
CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT
TONIGHT...BUT DUE TO THE TROPICAL NATURE OF THE AIRMASS ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVERNIGHT OVER THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.
TWO FEATURES WILL IMPACT THE CWFA THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
FIRST FEATURE IS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE EASTERN GULF.
THIS IS THE REMNANTS OF IVAN. THIS POOL OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
MOVE WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF REACHING THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL ALLOW TROPICAL MOISTURE TO
OVER-SPREAD MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA TONIGHT THRU FRIDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. ALSO THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER STATES THAT THERE A CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
AS THE REMNANTS OF IVAN APPROACHES TEXAS. BEARS WATCHING!!
THE SECOND FEATURE IS A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THRU THE CWFA
FRIDAY NIGHT AND STALL ALONG THE COAST THIS WEEKEND. THIS FRONT WILL
ALLOW TEMPS TO COOL DOWN TO SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. THE
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALSO TRIGGER ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE CWFA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT DEPENDING
ON THE AMOUNT OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AVAILABLE.
FINALLY AUTUMN BEGINS AT 1130 AM CDT TOMORROW.
NWS AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX (Puts up a Bear Watch)
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cctxhurricanewatcher
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Portastorm
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Actually I have been seeing that "bears watch" for several years. I asked a professional meteorologist buddy of mine what it meant ... and he basically said it was the NWS forecasters "cute" way of saying "we need to keep an eye on this."
If anything is going to cook up in the GOM, that upper low needs to move. Geez it is really shearing apart any convection right now.
If anything is going to cook up in the GOM, that upper low needs to move. Geez it is really shearing apart any convection right now.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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Matthew5
Special KILLER BEAR WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
3:00 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2004
THE BEAR THAT ATE HALF THE PEOPLE IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA...IN ALMOST CAUSED A NUCLEAR WAR, THERE LAST NIGHT. WAS REPORTED EATING PEOPLE NOW IN THE STATE OF TEXAS. TEXAS NATION GUARD MEMBERS WONDERED HOW IN THE WORLD DID THE SUPER BEAR GET ALL THE WAY TO TEXAS. THERES EVEN SOME REPORTS THAT THERE IS 2 OF THESE BEARS OUT LOOSE. THE ARMY SAID THAT THEY LOST THE BEAR LATE LAST NIGHT. WHICH THEY SAY IT WAS STILL IN FLORIDA AT THE TIME. REPORTS SAY THAT THE NUCLEAR BOMB THAT WAS PLANNED TO DROP ON THE AREA WHERE THE BEAR WAS. ALREADY WAS DROPED. LATEST IN IS THAT THIS BEAR IS MOVING AROUND IN CIRLES LOOKING MEAT TO EAT. THERE WILL BE MORE INFORMATION LATER...THIS HAS BEEN A KILLER BEAR WARNING///
FORECASTER MATTHEW
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
3:00 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2004
THE BEAR THAT ATE HALF THE PEOPLE IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA...IN ALMOST CAUSED A NUCLEAR WAR, THERE LAST NIGHT. WAS REPORTED EATING PEOPLE NOW IN THE STATE OF TEXAS. TEXAS NATION GUARD MEMBERS WONDERED HOW IN THE WORLD DID THE SUPER BEAR GET ALL THE WAY TO TEXAS. THERES EVEN SOME REPORTS THAT THERE IS 2 OF THESE BEARS OUT LOOSE. THE ARMY SAID THAT THEY LOST THE BEAR LATE LAST NIGHT. WHICH THEY SAY IT WAS STILL IN FLORIDA AT THE TIME. REPORTS SAY THAT THE NUCLEAR BOMB THAT WAS PLANNED TO DROP ON THE AREA WHERE THE BEAR WAS. ALREADY WAS DROPED. LATEST IN IS THAT THIS BEAR IS MOVING AROUND IN CIRLES LOOKING MEAT TO EAT. THERE WILL BE MORE INFORMATION LATER...THIS HAS BEEN A KILLER BEAR WARNING///
FORECASTER MATTHEW
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yoda
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Matthew5 wrote:Special KILLER BEAR WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
3:00 PM CDT TUE SEP 21 2004
THE BEAR THAT ATE HALF THE PEOPLE IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA...IN ALMOST CAUSED A NUCLEAR WAR, THERE LAST NIGHT. WAS REPORTED EATING PEOPLE NOW IN THE STATE OF TEXAS. TEXAS NATION GUARD MEMBERS WONDERED HOW IN THE WORLD DID THE SUPER BEAR GET ALL THE WAY TO TEXAS. THERES EVEN SOME REPORTS THAT THERE IS 2 OF THESE BEARS OUT LOOSE. THE ARMY SAID THAT THEY LOST THE BEAR LATE LAST NIGHT. WHICH THEY SAY IT WAS STILL IN FLORIDA AT THE TIME. REPORTS SAY THAT THE NUCLEAR BOMB THAT WAS PLANNED TO DROP ON THE AREA WHERE THE BEAR WAS. ALREADY WAS DROPED. LATEST IN IS THAT THIS BEAR IS MOVING AROUND IN CIRLES LOOKING MEAT TO EAT. THERE WILL BE MORE INFORMATION LATER...THIS HAS BEEN A KILLER BEAR WARNING///
FORECASTER MATTHEW
Oh boy, here we go again...
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GalvestonDuck
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