hurricanetrack.com

[weatherwoman]

they say north carolina they get all their info from the nationa hurricane center looks like it might be ours

[loon]

dang, 3 posts in just under 3 minutes, two of them new threads, to "claim victory" of a storm that is days out. You must really want this storm. I applaud your efforts, good luck!

cheers,
the loon

[SouthFLTropics]

Weatherwoman, I would urge you to wait until the 5PM advisory is issued before making any assumptions. This storm is a long ways out and has defied some models already. Anyone from South Florida to the Carolinas needs to be prepared to implement their plans later this week. If you are in South Florida I would head out and restock your supplies that have been used during Frances just in case. It doesn't hurt to build up the inventory that you should always have on hand on June 1.

[storms NC]

JEANNE LIKELY TO COME VERY CLOSE, IF NOT OVER, THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST- KARL AND LISA ARE NON-ISSUES RIGHT NOW AND THE GHOST IVAN IS MAKING A SMALL COMEBACK
There is a lot to talk about this morning. First up is Jeanne. Right now, the NHC is forecasting the hurricane to turn westward and then north towards North Carolina. Just how close Jeanne gets and how strong it will be once it gets there is too hard to guess at right now. The current forecast shows a minimal hurricane approaching the Carolina coast in five days. We shall see. Folks along the Southeast need to pay close attention to the track of Jeanne.

Where did they say it was ours?

[weatherwoman]

where did they say what?

[MWatkins]

they say north carolina they get all their info from the nationa hurricane center looks like it might be ours

Mark also lives in NC...he gets his information from the same place everyone else does.

Relax...there is time to watch this and it is too early in the game to call any paticular location with certanity. All we know is that the westward shift in the models means the threat for an impact somewhere in the SE goes up...but not for any specific location.

MW

[Lindaloo]

Thanks MW!

[yoda]

Good post Mike.

[Rainband]

So True Mike

[weatherwoman]

he only post what he gets from the hurricane center read him and see. he does not make his own predictions. read the hurricane centers dissusion track the storm i know alot can change for right now nc is the most likely place to get this storm

[yoda]

he only post what he gets from the hurricane center read him and see. he does not make his own predictions. read the hurricane centers dissusion track the storm i know alot can change for right now nc is the most likely place to get this storm

Right. A lot can change... but there are a lot of factors still out there...

[seaswing]

by all means NC, take this storm if you would like it. I've had enough~just took my plywood down, just put more than $10 worth of groceries in my frig., just had my truck washed, don't have the $$ for a generator yet. Don't even want to think about no power again..... I want this hurricane season to be OVER!

[weatherwoman]

your right you guys don't need another one. i feel for you we have them in north carolina but we have not had one that has done to us what they do to you guys. i dont wish any bad luck on anyone. i just like storms. that is my interest is weather and hurricanes are my main study. no hard ship for people just a part of nature that i like. didnt mean any hard feeling here.

[MWatkins]

he only post what he gets from the hurricane center read him and see. he does not make his own predictions. read the hurricane centers dissusion track the storm i know alot can change for right now nc is the most likely place to get this storm

OK..well...this paragraph was in this morning's forecast discussion from the NHC. This is official direct from the NHC and probably best explains what I am trying to convey. Just because you read that someone said the NHC said NC does not make it so. Remember Ivan? They had a forecast track splitting the state in half at one point. It didn't happen. Please remember that NOONE knows for sure.

I am not sure how you are concluding that NC is the most likely place to get the storm...but if you want a hurricane I hope you have fun.

THE NEW FORECAST TRACK INCREASES THE THREAT TO THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. HOWEVER...IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL WHICH PART OF THE COAST...IF ANY...MAY BE AFFECTED BY JEANNE.

MW

[Rainband]

he only post what he gets from the hurricane center read him and see. he does not make his own predictions. read the hurricane centers dissusion track the storm i know alot can change for right now nc is the most likely place to get this storm

Ok the point most of us are trying to make is this. Jeanne hasn't bhaved very well thus far, the history of the models is that there was no consensus. Now the models are beginning to come together. The models continue to build west with each run. That is called a trend. With tropical systems that are in weak steering flows, trends help alot to determine where a system MAY do down the road. I am no expert but correct me if I am wrong guys... The variables that come into play here are the high pressure and the possible influence on that high by some tropical players in the atlantic and Ivans remains in the GOM and a system in the central United States. Any one of these factors could influence the track of Jeanne. So to say in this stage of the game that anyone has any really good idea where Jeanne will wind up is pure speculation. Anyone in the SE CONUS needs to watch. Like I said Florida has had enough tropical trouble this year. Just don't mistake fear and concern for us hoping for a Florida hit. No one in the SE needs any more disaster this year. Least of all Florida IMHO.

[yoda]

your right you guys don't need another one. i feel for you we have them in north carolina but we have not had one that has done to us what they do to you guys. i dont wish any bad luck on anyone. i just like storms. that is my interest is weather and hurricanes are my main study. no hard ship for people just a part of nature that i like. didnt mean any hard feeling here.

Good post.

[weatherwoman]

i relize alot can change it will im sure. but looks where the hurricane center is taking it in 120 hours for now nc is it. that is all im saying it might not even take the turn north or west im saying what is being said right now. i know by monday when they have it just south of our coast line it might not even be there. it migth not even be in the atlantic at all. we dont know we dont make the weather and anything can happen.

[Brent]

OK... I'm better now.

You can have your hurricane and power outages with no air conditioning.

[Rainband]

:roflmao:

OK... I'm better now.

You can have your hurricane and power outages with no air conditioning.

was my analysis that bad Brent

[tracyswfla]

they say north carolina they get all their info from the nationa hurricane center looks like it might be ours

You can have it! Ever been through a hurricane?