18z GFS S Fl landfall

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Vortex
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18z GFS S Fl landfall

#1 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2004 5:53 pm

18z Gfs has also shited to the west and like the ETA has a landfall over S Fl.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif
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BillC
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#2 Postby BillC » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:01 pm

I assume that was an unintended misspelling of shifted ... :- )

There is certainly a westward shift trend developing and I hope the Tropical Prediction Center doesn't stick with its "model consensus" too long ... giving folks on the Florida East Coast a false sense of security for too long.
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#3 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:04 pm

BillC wrote:I assume that was an unintended misspelling of shifted ... :- )

There is certainly a westward shift trend developing and I hope the Tropical Prediction Center doesn't stick with its "model consensus" too long ... giving folks on the Florida East Coast a false sense of security for too long.


trust me nobody in florid is feeling secure at this point in the season.
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#4 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:04 pm

Looks like a florida hurricane to me.
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#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:34 pm

I think we might well be in for a Frances replay with Jeanne.
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#6 Postby boca » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:37 pm

Dixie bite your tongue. :lol:
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#7 Postby JPmia » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:40 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

Well look at these!
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#8 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 22, 2004 6:42 pm

Huh. I'd wait for the 00z runs IMO.
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#9 Postby rbaker » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:02 pm

earlier those same models from weatherunderground had all the models turning Jeanne out around long 75 w, now half are in fla and the other hugging the coast lines of the se. Sounds like a broken record with the left shifts.
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