Jeanne SSWn movement

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boca
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Jeanne SSWn movement

#1 Postby boca » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:24 pm

This movement SSW makes me more nervous because theirs no sign of a true westward movement yet. The further south it goes the harder to make a turn completely to the north. Just an opinion.Comments welcome.
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#2 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:27 pm

I hope your not right...
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:28 pm

If she doesn't start to turn more westerly within a couple of hours, I'm going to have to revise my opinion and say she gets south of 25N rather than getting just short of 25N. The longer she keeps this up, the worse it is for Florida.
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#4 Postby gkrangers » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:29 pm

It can still make an abrupt turn north, but the further south in lattitude it gets now, the closer to Florida it will get.
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Re: Jeanne SSWn movement

#5 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:29 pm

boca wrote:This movement SSW makes me more nervous because theirs no sign of a true westward movement yet. The further south it goes the harder to make a turn completely to the north. Just an opinion.Comments welcome.


she is on track..dont worry YET
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#6 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:32 pm

I read it as a wobble. But it would be funny if she stalled and went back NE from there. Her eyewall is now south of us!

Officially a weird tracker now!
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#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:34 pm

I agree, Boca, but Jeanne was looking rather ragged in the last IR. I expect she will be getting in some warmer waters though, so that should help intensification.
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Model shift

#8 Postby SkeetoBite » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:34 pm

Wonder if the forecast will shift also.

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... _model.gif

http://www.skeetobite.com/weather
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#9 Postby marc21688 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:35 pm

Hurricanes can turn very easily. It doesnt matter how long it stays on this course.
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#10 Postby corpusbreeze » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:36 pm

might make it into the GOM.
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#11 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:41 pm

Sanibel wrote:I read it as a wobble. But it would be funny if she stalled and went back NE from there. Her eyewall is now south of us!

Officially a weird tracker now!


I wouldn't call this a wobble ... looking at thw WV loop, it's clear that the ridge is still pushing south on top of her. I figured it's perimiter to have stopped progressing south by now.
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#12 Postby Windtalker » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:42 pm

Models do not show Jeanne going below 25...if she does, it's a new ball game....her swing west then northwest will bring her through South Florida, through the center of the state and exiting around Daytona on her way up to the Carolinas...Just my opinion.
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#13 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:43 pm

corpusbreeze wrote:might make it into the GOM.



And then where??? :eek:
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#14 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:51 pm

South of 25N makes for a weird situation. I believe this present SW is already below NHC track...
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#15 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:52 pm

Sanibel wrote:South of 25N makes for a weird situation. I believe this present SW is already below NHC track...


Sanibel, if she does go below the 25, what's your theory?
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