00:00 UTC models for Tropical Storm Ivan and H.Jeanne

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cycloneye
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00:00 UTC models for Tropical Storm Ivan and H.Jeanne

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:44 pm

Code: Select all

  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

  HURRICANE JEANNE     (AL112004) ON 20040923  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          040923  0000   040923  1200   040924  0000   040924  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    25.8N  69.1W   26.0N  69.8W   26.4N  71.2W   26.6N  73.2W
  BAMM    25.8N  69.1W   25.9N  69.7W   26.4N  70.6W   26.8N  72.2W
  A98E    25.8N  69.1W   25.2N  69.6W   25.3N  69.9W   25.9N  72.0W
  LBAR    25.8N  69.1W   25.5N  69.8W   25.6N  70.4W   25.4N  71.1W
  SHIP        85KTS          88KTS          91KTS          93KTS
  DSHP        85KTS          88KTS          91KTS          93KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          040925  0000   040926  0000   040927  0000   040928  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    26.6N  75.5W   26.8N  79.8W   28.3N  82.1W   31.2N  81.1W
  BAMM    27.2N  74.7W   27.9N  80.6W   27.4N  83.9W   28.1N  82.0W
  A98E    26.4N  73.9W   28.2N  78.5W   29.7N  82.0W   32.0N  82.5W
  LBAR    25.3N  71.8W   26.1N  73.8W   28.1N  76.9W   30.7N  79.2W
  SHIP        95KTS          91KTS          79KTS          64KTS
  DSHP        95KTS          91KTS          79KTS          64KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  25.8N LONCUR =  69.1W DIRCUR = 205DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
  LATM12 =  26.5N LONM12 =  68.5W DIRM12 = 197DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
  LATM24 =  27.2N LONM24 =  68.8W
  WNDCUR =   85KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   85KT
  CENPRS =  966MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =  100NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =  100NM RD34NW = 120NM



840
WHXX01 KWBC 222353
CHGHUR

   NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

  TROPICAL STORM IVAN       (AL092004) ON 20040923  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          040923  0000   040923  1200   040924  0000   040924  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    27.1N  89.5W   28.7N  90.8W   30.3N  92.0W   32.1N  92.6W
  BAMM    27.1N  89.5W   28.2N  91.3W   29.1N  93.0W   29.9N  94.2W
  A98E    27.1N  89.5W   28.5N  91.3W   29.8N  92.2W   32.0N  91.9W
  LBAR    27.1N  89.5W   28.8N  91.4W   30.6N  92.9W   32.9N  93.9W
  SHIP        35KTS          42KTS          50KTS          54KTS
  DSHP        35KTS          42KTS          50KTS          37KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          040925  0000   040926  0000   040927  0000   040928  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    34.3N  91.8W   39.0N  84.3W   42.1N  71.4W   40.3N  54.2W
  BAMM    30.4N  95.0W   30.8N  96.2W   32.3N  97.3W   34.5N  96.7W
  A98E    33.9N  90.7W   38.1N  86.4W   41.4N  77.8W   39.9N  65.1W
  LBAR    35.5N  93.9W   40.2N  89.3W   42.6N  78.3W   40.8N  62.4W
  SHIP        56KTS          48KTS          33KTS           0KTS
  DSHP        30KTS          27KTS          27KTS           0KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  27.1N LONCUR =  89.5W DIRCUR = 304DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
  LATM12 =  26.0N LONM12 =  87.3W DIRM12 = 299DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
  LATM24 =  24.8N LONM24 =  84.1W
  WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   25KT
  CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  240NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =   75NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
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caneman

#2 Postby caneman » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:48 pm

That is just not cool man. That indicates Florida landfall in 72 hours as a Cat. 2!
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#3 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:50 pm

We can't have that! Florida is closed for the rest of hurricane season! Someone call Jeb and have him call his brother and get the word out!!
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#4 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:51 pm

Only the A98E and BAMM/BAMD have it in FL in the 00z trop runs... :roll:
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caneman

#5 Postby caneman » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:54 pm

yoda wrote:Only the A98E and BAMM/BAMD have it in FL in the 00z trop runs... :roll:


OnLy? Are you saying we should really on the LBAR?
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#6 Postby feederband » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:57 pm

when will it come off of california and head for hawai. lol....
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#7 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:57 pm

Well the LBAR is not.. the GFDL is not.. the UKMET is not.. the ECMWF is not.... need any more? :D
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#8 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:00 pm

yoda wrote:Well the LBAR is not.. the GFDL is not.. the UKMET is not.. the ECMWF is not.... need any more? :D


1st Lbar had the thing going east untill 1 run ago..

2nd New UKMET has not come out yet

And Euro has been wong all friggin year..
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caneman

#9 Postby caneman » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:00 pm

yoda wrote:Well the LBAR is not.. the GFDL is not.. the UKMET is not.. the ECMWF is not.... need any more? :D


Ummmm, the GFDL has it running right up/on the East Coast of FLorida.
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#10 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:07 pm

cape_escape wrote:We can't have that! Florida is closed for the rest of hurricane season! Someone call Jeb and have him call his brother and get the word out!!
jeanne has no sunpass and therefore jeanne isnt allowed on our toll roads..sorry jeanne go to north carolina
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#11 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:34 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
cape_escape wrote:We can't have that! Florida is closed for the rest of hurricane season! Someone call Jeb and have him call his brother and get the word out!!
jeanne has no sunpass and therefore jeanne isnt allowed on our toll roads..sorry jeanne go to north carolina


As a matter of fact, I just heard Rolland say on NBC6 that the tolls will be open on the Florida Turnpike and that its heading straight for you. Better get cover jlauderdal.

<RICKY>
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#12 Postby rainstorm » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:37 pm

jeanne still heading south of all models, and continues ssw
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#13 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:39 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
cape_escape wrote:We can't have that! Florida is closed for the rest of hurricane season! Someone call Jeb and have him call his brother and get the word out!!
jeanne has no sunpass and therefore jeanne isnt allowed on our toll roads..sorry jeanne go to north carolina



:D Good Point! I like the way you think!
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Did you see the BAMM?

#14 Postby StrongWind » Wed Sep 22, 2004 9:13 pm

at Image

It goes out Tampa one way then comes around and bamms them again!

SW[/img]
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#15 Postby AggieSpirit » Wed Sep 22, 2004 9:51 pm

You gusy are the experts here, but I have to say that Jeanne and Ivan have taken 2 of the oddest paths I can remember seeing..
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