Jeanne still.... heading sw-wsw

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

Jeanne still.... heading sw-wsw

#1 Postby ericinmia » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:16 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... 94L.INVEST,

Click on the image size you prefer....
Click on MOST RECENT

It appears that Jeanne is still moving wsw-sw... If you speed up the frames, and click on it to remain on the last image a little longer (click a few times) you'll see what i mean.

Jeanne horribly strayed from the 5pm forecast... and is beginning to stray from the 11pm... which predicted a quick return to west movement.

In a few hours i feel that she will have crossed south of the 25 marker... which is bad news for south-central florida.
Here is the latest steering currents...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm5.html

I am livid about the NHC right now, loosing much respect for them by the minute.
Ivan??? (no comment)
Lisa??? (no comment)
Not forecasting Jeanne properly... (no comment)

for that last one... i had posted a while back about the high not degrading, and that jeanne was going to be forced back west. It was easy to tell this by the way you could see the current steering currents through cimss graphics... and none of the models at the time were even intializing the high to the size or strength that it was. Thus you could tell they were underestimating it.

I am tired of this "follow the models exactly"... and "continuity"
Move the track to where you believe it needs to be, don't be a "gurly man" about it AVILA! In all my years of this, i trully believe things are going down hill. In understand moderation will lessen the false tracks... but in instances like this i believe this is horse poop! This years ability to make a run on the record books for named storms is getting killed by the asshats at the NHC. Even the TPC and NRL didn't fully agree with the ackward naming the NHC has thrown at us. .... Nevermind i'm not going to get into it.

:)
**Breathe in.... Breathe out....** repeat...
anyway....

Look at that loop... i feel the NHC is in for another embaressment at the 5am.
-Eric
Last edited by ericinmia on Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#2 Postby mobilebay » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:26 pm

Eric, I have a bad fealing about a Central/South Florida Landfall. Remember, The models have had fit with the Strength of the High's this season. I think this could very well ride up the middle of Florida. Not trying to scare anyone that's just what I see. I also think the Carolinas could see some action but in a weaker state.
0 likes   

ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

#3 Postby ericinmia » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:51 pm

Yeah i completely agree with you mobile. How things with you; are they getting back to normal?

The farther south this goes, i believe is just the farther south on the fl peninsula that this storm will hit before curving northward through the state.
-Eric
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#4 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 12:05 am

How far south would it need to get to not curve? To keep it heading west into the GULF. Which in term could happen if the latest model trend of west keeps up.
0 likes   

User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#5 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 12:06 am

Better I guess eric. I have blisters on my hands from raking and picking up branches, trees, shingles, ect.
0 likes   

Doc Seminole

#6 Postby Doc Seminole » Thu Sep 23, 2004 12:17 am

Off Topic....

Is it just me or are these posts a mile wide and an inch deep?

8-)
0 likes   

ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

#7 Postby ericinmia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 12:20 am

^^^ yeah i noticed that...

I think the link i posted originally stretched out the page some.
sorry...
-Eric
0 likes   

Doc Seminole

#8 Postby Doc Seminole » Thu Sep 23, 2004 12:22 am

ericinmia wrote:^^^ yeah i noticed that...

I think the link i posted originally stretched out the page some.
sorry...
-Eric


No problem Eric, just wondered if my browser was going wacko.











































...... hey........ let's get some rest.

8-)
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: hurricanes1234 and 314 guests