Satellite 6:45z on Jeanne

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MortisFL
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Satellite 6:45z on Jeanne

#1 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:08 am

Well the 6:45z shows deeper convection around the center of the cane. Not much movement since 3:30z...a wsw drift

New advisory at 5am should be interesting.
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Re: Satellite 6:45z on Jeanne

#2 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:09 am

MortisFL wrote:Well the 6:45z shows deeper convection around the center of the cane. Not much movement since 3:30z...a wsw drift

New advisory at 5am should be interesting.


Yup, much more convection... :eek: :eek:
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#3 Postby Tertius » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:09 am

Linky linky?
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#4 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:11 am

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#5 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:11 am

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#6 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:13 am

Eyewall becoming more defined and MUCH smaller... connvection firing around eye... needs more in SW quad though...

Intensification Phase IMO right now... :eek: :eek:
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ColdFront77

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:16 am

Looks like SW movement to me.

The Hurricane Hunter Aircraft reported that the sea surface temperature in the area Jeanne is in is below 80°F (78.8°)
with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph, while about 100 miles to the west it's above 80°F (82.4°F).
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#8 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:18 am

I hope it doesn't strengthen prior to landfall...
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#9 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:27 am

If I had to take a guess at the 5am advisory by the NHC... I would say landfall would be between Daytona and West Palm, going inland and up the state.
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#10 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:29 am

Looks like almost a stall to me. But lets give it a few more images to be sure. One thing for certain and that it has fired up a bit by the looks of that ir.
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#11 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:32 am

Nothing would surprise me at this point...with all the directions its gone already.
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#12 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:36 am

Your looking down the eye of the deadiest named tropical cyclone of the 2004 hurricane season. With over 1,000 dead or more. This storm is 5 times as deadly so far then Ivan. But to note is there was a nicely defined LLCC with the system on May 24th that hit Hati. Which killed 3,300 people.
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#13 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:37 am

Matthew5 wrote:Your looking down the eye of the deadiest named tropical cyclone of the 2004 hurricane season. With over 1,000 dead or more. This storm is 5 times as deadly so far then Ivan. But to note is there was a nicely defined LLCC with the system on May 24th that hit Hati. Which killed 3,300 people.


Really? What was that? :P
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#14 Postby MortisFL » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:38 am

Definitely is firing up on IR satellite
Image
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#15 Postby Tertius » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:03 am

KingOfWeather wrote:Looks like almost a stall to me. But lets give it a few more images to be sure. One thing for certain and that it has fired up a bit by the looks of that ir.


Yep, sure does look pretty stationary. It might indicate a change in direction when she decides to get moving again.
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ColdFront77

#16 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:15 am

It is sort of stationary, however from the last image before the eclipse and the first one after... a southwest drift is noticeable.
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#17 Postby ericinmia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:25 am

on average she appears to be drifting slowly south to south-westward.
She beceame elongated while her CDO was re-organizing and deepening, however, she is now symetrical again. Based on steering currents she should continue some sort of south of westerly jog for the next 6-12 hours at the least.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-693W.jpg
-eric
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