Ivan is moving NW now!!!

[bfez1]

From our local met here in New Orleans
"Sorry guys. I've been swamped. The storm is clearing moving northwest not wnw. Landfall should come by mid morning just west of the Atchafalaya Bay. This means heavy squalls will linger over the area all day today.

We will have to monitor trends very closely this morning and afternoon. This storm is going to slow (according to tpc). However, since their track was so much further west, the slow could come closer to us. This means rains might linger into tomorrow.

I'm slammed with the show, but i'm taking all of this into consideration. Obviously as the low weakens, rainfall and not tidal flooding would become the main concern.

If time permits, I may make a Jeanne post later this morning.

Updates on Ivan will come around or after 9am.

This 4 hour show is tough!"

David Bernard
Meteorologist
WWL-TV
1024 North Rampart Street
New Orleans, LA 70116

[storms NC]

I was this too but they said no. We will see in a few hours what happens

[tw861]

Sorry, I think your local met was wrong. It's now mid morning and Ivans not moving inland yet. He's moving wnw, maybe just north of that around 305 degrees or so. I think what happened during the night was the llcc was pulled up a little into the stronger convection on the north side.

[LaBreeze]

Cloud deck is much heavier now and winds are gusty. Rainfall has slackened a bit from earlier this morning.

[Sanibel]

Also looked like a WNW slide under the coast and into Texas to me too.

Not enough water to turn into anything serious...

[ROCK]

Sorry, I think your local met was wrong. It's now mid morning and Ivans not moving inland yet. He's moving wnw, maybe just north of that around 305 degrees or so. I think what happened during the night was the llcc was pulled up a little into the stronger convection on the north side.

Agreed....latest LK Charles looks like the center is still offshore and moving due WEST?? or WNW....either way very close to NHC predicted landfall....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.klch.shtml

[tw861]

Sorry, I think your local met was wrong. It's now mid morning and Ivans not moving inland yet. He's moving wnw, maybe just north of that around 305 degrees or so. I think what happened during the night was the llcc was pulled up a little into the stronger convection on the north side.

Agreed....latest LK Charles looks like the center is still offshore and moving due WEST?? or WNW....either way very close to NHC predicted landfall....

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.klch.shtml

Yep, the latest recon fix....

URNT12 KNHC 231342
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 23/1342Z
B. 29 DEG 00 MIN N
92 DEG 24 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1420 M
D. 50 KT
E. 222 DEG 002 NM
F. 300 DEG 36 KT
G. 216 DEG 007 NM
H. 1000 MB
I. 16 C/ 1537 M
J. 22 C/ 1534 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/08
O. 0.1/ 3 NM
P. AF866 4509A IVAN OB 06
MAX FL WIND 70 KT N QUAD 1213Z


shows basically a due westward movement. It also seems to have slowed somewhat which might not be such a good thing if the shear continues to relax as it has seemed to have done a little.