Turned On A Dime

[Sanibel]

Thought for sure Jeanne would cross the 25N line last night. She turned on a dime last night and levelled-off at her present latitude just like NHC predicted...

Noticeable is her increase in core convection from yesterday's wispy south-heading retreat...

If Florida takes another 100mph hurricane impact it will be an historic year...

[GOMer]

I would hazard to say that it has already been an historic year, even if today were November 30

[Weatherboy1]

If there's one saving grace in all this, it's that Jeanne is a relatively small storm area-wise. Looks like hurricane force winds will only extend out 60 miles or so to the SW in 72 hours, according to the 5 a.m. forecast advisory, and TS winds only extend out about 100-110 miles. This is no Frances, Floyd, etc. that will impact a big area, thankfully. Also, she should accelerate and be through the area fairly quickly, unlike Frances.

That said, Andrew was a small storm, too in roughly the same place as Jeanne in 1992. Jeanne will not get anywhere near as strong as Andrew. But the damage in the small 20-30 mile circle that could easily see sustained winds of 100-110 mph could still be significant given that some of the same areas that were battered by Frances could get hit again.

[Sanibel]

We'll see if she tracks west from here.

I can't believe what she did to Haiti as even a weak tropical storm...

[Rainband]

Local met said it depends on when the high weakens, it could turn before florida's east coast, over the state, or after it crosses it. He said too early too tell But we need to watch it carefully

[Guest]

Stronger the high the better.

[caneman]

Stronger the high the better.

For who?

[simplyme]

Stronger the high the better.

/grumble

[TampaFl]

[Sanibel]

Almost looks like it's looping back north...

[Nancy]

Stacey Stewart was on our local radio this a.m., and when asked about the size of Jeanne compared to Frances, he said that Jeanne will get much bigger when it hits the warm water.

[kevin]

He did?? Frances was a big storm...

[Guest]

yeah our local met said jeanne could turn into a monster, and he also said stronger the high the better.

[Rainband]

yeah our local met said jeanne could turn into a monster, and he also said stronger the high the better.

All depends on when the weakness develops Everyone in the SE needs to watch this.

[Sanibel]

If it turns into a monster it is more likely to do so on a Hugo track up into the Carolinas...

[Guest]

Who would name their son Hugo, that's a name I have never seen anyone with.

[Nancy]

Stacey Stewart was on our local radio this a.m., and when asked about the size of Jeanne compared to Frances, he said that Jeanne will get much bigger when it hits the warm water.

[mascpa]

It is NOT better for Florida if the high gets stronger. That means it will continue farther west longer before making the eventual turn northward.

[Nancy]

I should clarify: Stacey didn't say Jeanne will get much larger than Frances, just that the size of Jeanne will increase. He never really said if it would be as large or larger than Frances.