Is Ivan now coming onshore in SW LA.?

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Stormcenter
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Is Ivan now coming onshore in SW LA.?

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:14 pm

It looks like Ivan is coming onshore in SW.
LA.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml

Unofficially Ivan has stalled or at least it
looks like he has.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml
Last edited by Stormcenter on Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:16 pm

My this storm just won't go away.. will he :roll:
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#3 Postby Jagno » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:18 pm

I'm in Lake Charles and this radar is showing alot more rain than the 3 minute very light shower we've received so far. Like most of our neighbors in Texas, we neeeeeed the rain.
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#4 Postby LaBreeze » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:20 pm

Getting rain, thunder and very breezy winds in Vermilion Parish
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#5 Postby Roxy » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:40 pm

???????????
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#6 Postby BayouVenteux » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:44 pm

Jagno wrote:I'm in Lake Charles and this radar is showing alot more rain than the 3 minute very light shower we've received so far. Like most of our neighbors in Texas, we neeeeeed the rain.
Looks like you're about to get that rain as a pretty good rotating band of showers is moving toward LCH as of 2:40 p.m.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

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#7 Postby Houstonia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 2:46 pm

My Weatherbug radar is just now begining to show some light showers coming in from the northeast... looks like either Liberty county or the county just north of it.

Very light rain indications though - nothing serious... definitely moving southwest.
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#8 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:00 pm

Hmm...Going by the 10am advisory and the 1pm advisory...He has hardly even moved...Unless I'm missing something?
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#9 Postby Houstonia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:29 pm

Well they are getting ready here where I work. I just received the following messages in my inbox:

"NHMCCD" NHMCCD Closing Due to Enclement Weather Thu Sep 23 15:00:56 2004 47

"NHMCCD" ** ERROR: NHMCCD CLOSING MESSAGES SENT IN ERROR Thu Sep 23 15:15:05 2004 49

"NHMCCD" ERROR: NHMCCD CLOSING MESSAGES SENT IN ERROR! Thu Sep 23 15:18:23 2004 47

"NHMCCD" NHMCCD, Montgomery College NOT Closing Thu Sep 23 15:20:23 2004 48

"NHMCCD" ERROR: NHMCCD CLOSING MESSAGES SENT IN ERROR! Thu Sep 23 15:23:47 2004 49

Gosh - do you suppose this was an.... ERROR?!?!
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#10 Postby Roxy » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:31 pm

haha, apprently it was an error!
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#11 Postby Yankeegirl » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:34 pm

Houstonia, so are classes cancelled?? I have class there tonight... I would think that they would not be cancelled, its beautiful outside!! Makes me wonder if we are even going to get any rain outta this...?
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#12 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:36 pm

YankeeGirl wrote:Houstonia, so are classes cancelled?? I have class there tonight... I would think that they would not be cancelled, its beautiful outside!! Makes me wonder if we are even going to get any rain outta this...?


We may not get any rain at all here. Oh well.
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#13 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:56 pm

Ok....Maybe one of the pros can help out here.....Ivan has moved .2 West and .2 North since 11..Does that equal NW at 8mph? And the last few images looks as if it is feeling the coast *friction?* and is moving due west...Not starting one of these new motions post but just what it seems to look like..
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#14 Postby Houstonia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:56 pm

YankeeGirl wrote:Houstonia, so are classes cancelled?? I have class there tonight... I would think that they would not be cancelled, its beautiful outside!! Makes me wonder if we are even going to get any rain outta this...?


No.. the messages were an error YankeeGirl.. there are no closures...
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#15 Postby BayouVenteux » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:02 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Ok....Maybe one of the pros can help out here.....Ivan has moved .2 West and .2 North since 11..Does that equal NW at 8mph? And the last few images looks as if it is feeling the coast *friction?* and is moving due west...Not starting one of these new motions post but just what it seems to look like..
Yes, the last 3-5 radar frames off our local NWS site show the cyclonic movement of the rain bands appearing to be breaking down into just plain ol' coastal drifters moving northward off the Gulf. This might be indicative of the weakening of the sheared and struggling little Ivanovitch.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
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#16 Postby tw861 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:05 pm

BayouVenteux wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Ok....Maybe one of the pros can help out here.....Ivan has moved .2 West and .2 North since 11..Does that equal NW at 8mph? And the last few images looks as if it is feeling the coast *friction?* and is moving due west...Not starting one of these new motions post but just what it seems to look like..
Yes, the last 3-5 radar frames off our local NWS site show the cyclonic movement of the rain bands appearing to be breaking down into just plain ol' coastal drifters moving northward off the Gulf. This might be indicative of the weakening of the sheared and struggling little Ivanovitch.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml


New Orleans radar is too far away. Check out Lake Charles...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml


A nice spin is there clearly still offshore.
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#17 Postby BayouVenteux » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:15 pm

tw861 wrote:
BayouVenteux wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Ok....Maybe one of the pros can help out here.....Ivan has moved .2 West and .2 North since 11..Does that equal NW at 8mph? And the last few images looks as if it is feeling the coast *friction?* and is moving due west...Not starting one of these new motions post but just what it seems to look like..
Yes, the last 3-5 radar frames off our local NWS site show the cyclonic movement of the rain bands appearing to be breaking down into just plain ol' coastal drifters moving northward off the Gulf. This might be indicative of the weakening of the sheared and struggling little Ivanovitch.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml


New Orleans radar is too far away. Check out Lake Charles...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml


A nice spin is there clearly still offshore.
Good call! My bad. :oops: Looks like there's a lot more precip banding to the north and west of it than earlier...much more concentated banding than to the east. We've had some intermittent light sprinkles and occasional gusties this afternoon but not much else. Hope we can still get some of the outer feeders I seem to see to the south and east of us, because after tomorrow, the forecast indicates that we're probably headed back to "Droughtsville" again. :roll:
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Re: Is Ivan now coming onshore in SW LA.?

#18 Postby ROCK » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:36 pm

Stormcenter wrote:It looks like Ivan is coming onshore in SW.
LA.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml

Unofficially Ivan has stalled or at least it
looks like he has.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klch.shtml



almost but seems to be hugging the coast....
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#19 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:40 pm

You know what is strange...Is that the La coastline is quite similar to the Jamica coastline...Now is Ivan going to do the Jamica "two-step"

The rain event could be a bad one unless he at least keeps some kind of movement once he gets on land..
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#20 Postby MBryant » Thu Sep 23, 2004 4:57 pm

We're getting a light, steady, soaking rain in Orange, Texas which is just what we need.

I've noticed a lot of the smaller storms have a habit of staying just offshore for 12 to 24 hours before finally moving inland. I've asked whether this has been studied, but I haven't seen a response yet.
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