18z GFS-Landfall between Miami and West palm beach

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

18z GFS-Landfall between Miami and West palm beach

#1 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:13 pm

then rides the florida coast. Living in Fort Lauderdale which is between the 2 cities I can only hope this is not the case.


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_060l.gif
0 likes   

User avatar
Zadok
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 232
Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:32 am
Location: USA East Coast

#2 Postby Zadok » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:15 pm

The trend continues............
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:15 pm

My goodness now just about every single model available for hurricane forecasting has a landfall somewhere on the Florida coast. I suppose that the 2004 season is just to re-emphisize that Florida is indeed the state that gets hit the most by hurricanes.

<RICKY>
0 likes   

miamijaaz
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 172
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 3:40 pm

#4 Postby miamijaaz » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:15 pm

Is this more south than the earlier run?
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:17 pm

well..

NC may end up with 3 of their own, so NC doesnt want to give up the crown easily
0 likes   

jpigott
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 692
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:31 pm
Location: North Palm Beach, Florida

#6 Postby jpigott » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:18 pm

is it me or have the models even shifted slightly further south. Yesterday the furthest south was just N of WPB, no it seems we have some models going as far south as Ft. Lauderdale. Don't like the trend.
0 likes   

jpigott
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 692
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:31 pm
Location: North Palm Beach, Florida

#7 Postby jpigott » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:21 pm

just took another peak at the models at wunderground. It's interesting (and somewhat disconserting sitting here in WPB) that all the models seem to pick up on a WNW movement initially (which appears to be verifying) and then turns Jeanne back slightly S of West.
0 likes   

User avatar
Zadok
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 232
Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:32 am
Location: USA East Coast

#8 Postby Zadok » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:22 pm

By sometime tomorrow they will have it at Broward or Dade and further west probably raking the west coast going north and slamming into the panhandle. 8-)
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7240
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

#9 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:24 pm

jpigott wrote:is it me or have the models even shifted slightly further south. Yesterday the furthest south was just N of WPB, no it seems we have some models going as far south as Ft. Lauderdale. Don't like the trend.


thats been the trend since yesterday and now we are inside 72 hours so dont expect any huge changes...the changes get smaller and smaller as we move on until total model convergence
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#10 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:25 pm

Zadok wrote:By sometime tomorrow they will have it at Broward or Dade and further west probably raking the west coast going north and slamming into the panhandle. 8-)


Nooooooooooooo.................. :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :grr: :grr: :grr:
0 likes   
#neversummer

Deenac813
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 788
Joined: Sat Sep 06, 2003 5:16 pm
Location: Hollywood, Florida

#11 Postby Deenac813 » Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:26 pm

Umm.. I am right between Dade and Palm Beach :eek: :eek:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022 and 37 guests