Due west now underway and faster

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Vortex
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Due west now underway and faster

#1 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:38 pm

The Hi-res infrared clearly indicates the motion is now due west at a faster clip....Look out Florida....
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Re: Due west now underway and faster

#2 Postby farmwx » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:40 pm

Vortex wrote:The Hi-res infrared clearly indicates the motion is now due west at a faster clip....Look out Florida....


what does that mean? Does that mean we in central florida will get hit earlier?
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Re: Due west now underway and faster

#3 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:45 pm

farmwx wrote:
Vortex wrote:The Hi-res infrared clearly indicates the motion is now due west at a faster clip....Look out Florida....


what does that mean? Does that mean we in central florida will get hit earlier?


Yes. See Andrew.
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#4 Postby obxhurricane » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:46 pm

No...it just means that Jeanne is generally on track.
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#5 Postby stormwatcher » Thu Sep 23, 2004 7:50 pm

Sorry... I don't see a due west movement on the 6 hour loop. Looks like a wnw movement to me though this could be a "wobble".
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#6 Postby TampaFl » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:31 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#7 Postby Scorpion » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:32 pm

I see a west movement...
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#8 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:33 pm

west
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#9 Postby ericinmia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:42 pm

east





lol, hehe
Its headed west for now, but as i have said before. The elongation of the ridge over florida, and its southward push should force jeanne a little wsw tonight into tomorrow morning.
-Eric
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#10 Postby ericinmia » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:46 pm

Brian Norecross just came on between commercials and stated this westward movement...
-Eric
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#11 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:46 pm

Looks west to me...at least for now.
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#12 Postby cape_escape » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:49 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Looks west to me...at least for now.



Thank you AFM...Now, I'm a little less confused!
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#13 Postby tronbunny » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:50 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Looks west to me...at least for now.

Air Force Met,
What is your best tool for determining that?
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#14 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:52 pm

The point is the faster it moves west, the LESS LIKELY the recurvature occurs before a landfall in Florida ... if the movement is overall slower, the recurve occurs earlier and landfall occurs a little up the coast ...

SF
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#15 Postby orion » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:54 pm

I see the west motion, but it also seems to me if you overlay the official track on the loop that this westward motion is still north of it (the official track). Will be interesting to see what the 5am forecast track does.
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#16 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:55 pm

tronbunny wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:Looks west to me...at least for now.

Air Force Met,
What is your best tool for determining that?


I use the GHCC site...which right now is getting a new satellite image every 7 or 8 minutes. Sometimes I do a still image and take the coordinates off the coordinate tool that the GHCC site has.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html
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#17 Postby jagesq » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:56 pm

Meteorologist Steve Weagle just came on air and said at 11, we should see a West track at 7-10 mph.
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#18 Postby tronbunny » Thu Sep 23, 2004 8:56 pm

Air Force Met wrote:I use the GHCC site...which right now is getting a new satellite image every 7 or 8 minutes. Sometimes I do a still image and take the coordinates off the coordinate tool that the GHCC site has.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html


Thanks!
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#19 Postby caneman » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:12 pm

jagesq wrote:Meteorologist Steve Weagle just came on air and said at 11, we should see a West track at 7-10 mph.


That would mean landfall in 60 hours at 8 mph but in reality it may end going faster soon so coould be as soon as 48 hours. Models and NHC really start locking in at this point and are fairly good. The 11:00 should tell the tale.
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#20 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:18 pm

GARP is also very good for determining storm motion. You can overlay a lat/lon grid of your choosing, as well as determining your own domain. What's good is you get entire basin coverage with 30 min sat photos
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