Satellite blackout over.Looks like NW movement in last 4 hrs

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DAVE440
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Satellite blackout over.Looks like NW movement in last 4 hrs

#1 Postby DAVE440 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:19 am

looks wnw to me
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


Also notice that blob of convection moving westward at the lower right of the screen.... the Lisa Depression merged absorbed...whatever it is...getting pretty spread out... and still looks to be headed this way
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caneman

Re: Satellite blackout over.Looks like NW movement in last 4

#2 Postby caneman » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:23 am

DAVE440 wrote:looks wnw to me
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


Also notice that blob of convection moving westward at the lower right of the screen.... the Lisa Depression merged absorbed...whatever it is...getting pretty spread out... and still looks to be headed this way


nope, WNW
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#3 Postby yoda » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:23 am

Yes agree Jeanne is moving WNW....
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#4 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:29 am

Holy!!! Take a look at Lisa/93L it has bombed out with its convection...You can clearly see the LLCC on the northern quad of the deep convection now 70 something percent under the convection. The wind shear is stilll not perfect but some models forecast it to ease up for a time before the trough??? Look at wind shear maps it shows a large area of high pressure just to the northwest/north of tropical cyclone Lisa. I would not be surprized got reoreganized...In became a hurricane when it finnally gets picked up by the trough because it most likely will be heading with the shear...Just think if that convection formed over Jeanne!!!


In by recon reports Jeanne is moving west dead west!!!
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#5 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:32 am

Between recon fixes Jeanne moved 3 MIN north, and 10 MIN west, just a tad west of WNW.
Last edited by mobilebay on Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:35 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#6 Postby ericinmia » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:34 am

Yeah Recon, and LLC fixes by the NHC have all show direct west since 11pm, or just thereafter.

The storm went through some re-organization, and this re-oriented where the eye was. That is what you are seeing leading to the wnw belief.
-Eric

Like Mobile said... it practically west... there was a little bump north durring re-organization, but the movement is west.
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#7 Postby DAVE440 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:36 am

So i am seeing wnw....ok...eyes arent gone yet. Was wnw earlier...then back to the west....now wnw again.... Probably just another wobble.... we'll see.

Can't move too far N of west with high pressure over it.

This still says West.

Advisory 43

At 5 am EDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 26.1 north...longitude 71.6 west or about 340
miles... 550 km...east of great abaco island in the northwestern
Bahamas.

Jeanne is moving toward the west near 8 mph...13 km/hr...and this
motion is expected to continue with some increase in forward speed
during the next 24 hours. This motion could bring the center of
Jeanne near the northwestern Bahamas on Saturday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds remain near 100 mph...160 km/hr...with
higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible during the next
24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 140 miles...220 km.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane hunter
is 969 mb...28.61 inches.
Last edited by DAVE440 on Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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caneman

#8 Postby caneman » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:38 am

DAVE440 wrote:So i am seeing wnw....ok...eyes arent gone yet. Was wnw earlier...then back to the west....now wnw again.... Probably just another wobble.... we'll see.

Can't move too far N of west with high pressure over it.


Looks like in the last hour she is really re-organinizing. Her structure is looking better and starting to re-fire some convection.
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#9 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:39 am

I believe in this case I would use what the NHC would use in their Public Advisory. "just north of due West".
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#10 Postby dhweather » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:40 am

WNW and the convection is increasing. She's finally getting awa from the upwelling she sat over for 1-2 days. Not good for Bahamas/Florida
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#11 Postby DAVE440 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 3:41 am

Thought I saw an eye shift going on but wasnt certain. That makes sense Eric.
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#12 Postby CourierPR » Fri Sep 24, 2004 5:45 am

Folks, I just looked at the latest real time satellite loop at RAMSDIS OnLine which shows Jeanne headed DUE WEST. It is also moving faster. This confirms what the NHC is saying in its 5 AM advisory. Let's try to get our facts straight.
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#13 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 24, 2004 5:50 am

CourierPR wrote:Folks, I just looked at the latest real time satellite loop at RAMSDIS OnLine which shows Jeanne headed DUE WEST. It is also moving faster. This confirms what the NHC is saying in its 5 AM advisory. Let's try to get our facts straight.


due west means atlantic and a1a..les than 10 minutes from house..ouch
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