http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html
I've looked at all the models, read all the commentary, etc. But one rudimentary forecasting tool -- just looking at the WV loop -- seems to suggest to me this thing is going to come further west than expected. If you run this 12-hour loop, you see that the ridge is still expanding and building W ... the area of dry air signifying the edge of that ridge to Jeanne's N and W is now all the way across FL and into the GOMEX. The ULL/shortwave that is supposed to weaken the W extent of the ridge is riding up and over the top of it (heading NE toward Canada). This is not a w---cast, but I am sincerely concerned that the NHC track may be too far east with this turn and that anywhere from West Palm Beach through Ft. Pierce may get a direct hit from a shallower angle than currently expected.
ridge still building W?
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- Weatherboy1
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ridge still building W?
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rbaker
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hurricane1020
- Tropical Low

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Here you go...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=47264
I answered this question early this morning.
Hope that helps some.
-Eric
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=47264
I answered this question early this morning.
Hope that helps some.
-Eric
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strike probability for tampa is 18 same as jaxville.
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Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.
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